Arizona might flip for trump!

AProudLefty said:
Yeah. I just want it done now already. LOL. It'd be great if PA and GA turn blue. ;)
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why in such a hurry puddin?

didn't Crooked Hillary say "count every last vote"

Relax.

You know your guys tried cheating. Trump made it harder by turning out his voters big league. You guys know it.

The democrats usual dirty tricks couldn't work this time around. They had to go to extraordinary measures like getting the media to not call states for Trump. They stopped counting votes in certain states to buy time so they could go find ballots in Wisconsin and Michigan
 
Teflon Don said:
why in such a hurry puddin?

didn't Crooked Hillary say "count every last vote"

Relax.

You know your guys tried cheating. Trump made it harder by turning out his voters big league. You guys know it.

The democrats usual dirty tricks couldn't work this time around. They had to go to extraordinary measures like getting the media to not call states for Trump. They stopped counting votes in certain states to buy time so they could go find ballots in Wisconsin and Michigan
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What are you talking about, the cheating is working great...only a few more electors for Biden are needed.
 
Teflon Don said:
why in such a hurry puddin?

didn't Crooked Hillary say "count every last vote"

Relax.

You know your guys tried cheating. Trump made it harder by turning out his voters big league. You guys know it.

The democrats usual dirty tricks couldn't work this time around. They had to go to extraordinary measures like getting the media to not call states for Trump. They stopped counting votes in certain states to buy time so they could go find ballots in Wisconsin and Michigan
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So hurry up sweetheart. *smooch*
 
BRUTALITOPS said:
Trump is holding PA.

I just looked at the numbers on NYT and trump still has a 160k vote lead. Most blue counties are in now. Allegheny county has 80k votes left. even if you give biden 80 percent of that, that's only a net gain of 50k. Fuck, give him 100%. He still needs to find another 80k votes. Centre county, the next biggest dem strong hold with votes oustanding only has 11k total.

Chester county is 98% in. Montgomery 98% in.

Delware county only 83% in leaving 57k votes up for grabs. Give biden all of them. Biden is Still 30k short

There is literally NO WHERE else in PA where there are votes. They don't exist.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...020&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

Unless NYT has wrong information, trump should hold PA
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nvm, NYT county numbers are wrong. not my fault. Trump tough fight ahead
 
After all that I have seen I certainly cant assume that votes will be counted correctly in Arizona or anywhere else.

I will watch.
 
This would REALLY fuck things up.
(why not just call Arizona and Nevada for Biden and get this over with, wouldn't that be the easiest thing to do?)



BRUTALITOPS said:
You heard it here first

I'll show my work, let me walk you through it with my genius:

early this evening, There is 430k votes remaining, trump at a deficit of 68k

Trump needs to do around 58% for the rest of the remaining state. (430k-68k) = 363k | 363k * .51 = 184k | 184k + 68k =252k | 252 / 430 = .587

The remaining ballots are ballots pre-filled and dropped off in person.

This skews more conservative because while the media is considering these ballots "early voting" or "mail in ballots," they are functionally election day votes. They took their ballot, walked to the polls, and dropped it, in person.

These ballots were done from 11/2 - 11/4

They are doing oldest to newest. The closest we get to election day, the more it skews conservative.

These votes are coming from liberal maricopa county.

They are releasing batches of 50-60k at once tonight (i think they stopped now)

First batch that came in was 57% trump advantage

Second batch just came in. Demos were 39-26-30 rep-dem-independent. Trump gained 10k net. 35k-25k. The magic number we are seeing? 58%

That's two batches in a row from the most liberal county. There are still red counties ostanding. So far, trump is on pace with no area worse than where he already is

Independents in the state were leaning trump

So now we have data from two counties, in the most liberal area, oldest first, and they are both saying trump 58% roughly. As we get more batches in (next might be tomorrow afternoon) they might continue to skew trump as it becomes more equiv to election day voting which was 2:1 trump

The only mitigating factor is if the independents hold with trump. So far, they have in arizona. Basically we've knocked down a couple of dominoes, and if we get like another, we are fucking GOOD. Arizona will be fucking flipped. It was +900 last I checked. This is super early deep level news only retrieved from a genius like myself.

I can't find a place to bet or I would be betting trump now for arizona (even if trump loses no way his equity is this bad at this point) :(

I hope I don't look like an idiot :(
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BRUTALITOPS said:
if like the next release is a rando 51 oor 52% it's prob not good but two sets already and we are going to be getting newer votes, this could be very promising.
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Haven't finished the thread, and by now I believe it's moot, trump needed to get a consistent 60% in each bucket
 
It might, but the state is moot. Joe Biden is going to easily win Pennsylvania. That's been obvious since yesterday morning, and nothing has changed the arc of that. Donnie can have Arizona. It won't matter.
 
PostmodernProphet said:
do in other words, they elected Obama.......anyone else?....
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Nevada voted for Hillary Clinton against trump. That was the other election since 2004.

The last time Nevada voted for a Republican not named Bush, was 36 years ago. Even then, they were about as strong supporters of Reagan as New Jersey was.
 
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