GOP keeps lead for House control, Democrats' momentum stalls amid economy worries

Grokmaster

Grokmaster

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AND IT IS NOWHERE EAR THAT CLOSE, REST ASSURED..





GOP keeps lead for House control, Democrats' momentum stalls amid economy worries — CBS News Battleground Tracker poll


For two months the Democrats chipped away at the Republicans' lead in the battle for House control, helped by motivated abortion-rights voters and what turned out to be fleeting glimmers of optimism about the economy. But that momentum has stalled, at least for now, and the Republicans' House lead has stabilized today at 224 seats to the Democrats' 211. The Republicans' lead had shrunk in the two previous model runs of September and August.






https://www.cbsnews.com/news/republicans-lead-house-control-opinion-poll-2022-10-16/
 
STALIN-O-CRAT MIDTERM CHANCES:


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LurchAddams said:
Hope springs eternal, trumptards.
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The odds have always favored a Republican win in the November midterms. The SCOTUS Roe v. Wade decision upset those odds making a Senate win less likely.

Even so, notice how the margin is close. Not a "Red Wave" nor a blue one. IMO, the Independents win when the margin is narrow since it neutralizes the power of both the Democrats and Republicans.

https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022
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According to the respected Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, despite two years of a 24/7 media hate campaign, Donald Trump is America’s most popular and favored politician.
According to Harvard-Harris, 47 percent of those polled view Trump favorably, while 47 percent view him unfavorably. That is a net favor-ability of zero.

No one scored better.
Compare that to His Fraudulence, Joe Biden, whose net favor-ability is -8. Only 43 percent view him favorably, but a majority of 51 percent view him unfavorably.
Nolte: Donald Trump Is Americas Most Popular Politician
 
Dutch Uncle said:
The odds have always favored a Republican win in the November midterms. The SCOTUS Roe v. Wade decision upset those odds making a Senate win less likely.

Even so, notice how the margin is close. Not a "Red Wave" nor a blue one. IMO, the Independents win when the margin is narrow since it neutralizes the power of both the Democrats and Republicans.

https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022
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Just like 2020, I have no idea what's going to happen. All the twumptards that are guaranteeing a "red wave".. they might be right, like you said, history is seldom kind to the party who just won the presidency. All I can say to anyone who says they know what the Red and Blue count is going to be Nov 9th.. it must be nice to know!
 
LurchAddams said:
Just like 2020, I have no idea what's going to happen. All the twumptards that are guaranteeing a "red wave".. they might be right, like you said, history is never kind to the party who just won the presidency. All I can say to anyone who says they know what the Red and Blue count is going to be Nov 9th.. it must be nice to know!
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People claiming partisan waves are fucking clueless about the bigger picture. They are simply engaging in wishful thinking.

The charts are a better picture of the odds. Regardless of which party wins, the margin will be small meaning, in a partisan Congress, most Americans will lose because it means another Do-Nothing Congress for two more years.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/
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By historical standards, the Republicans should easily take the house and senate by wide margins.
 
Dutch Uncle said:
The Senate race is neck and neck. Only the fucking morons fail to understand that Midterm elections are local, not national.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/
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https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2022
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There's only 4 seats in the "Yuge Senate Race" this year and Democrats are throwing tons of money at all of them.

Here it's nonstop black-ex-police-chief-whatever-the-fuck-her-name-is ads every other commercial. Gonna be funny if Rubio beats her after all that money spent on ads.

I know I'm not voting for her.
 
Matt Dillon said:
There's only 4 seats in the "Yuge Senate Race" this year and Democrats are throwing tons of money at all of them.

Here it's nonstop black-ex-police-chief-whatever-the-fuck-her-name-is ads every other commercial. Gonna be funny if Rubio beats her after all that money spent on ads.

I know I'm not voting for her.
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Regardless, it's still a vote within each state. Each state citizen has a choice.
 
Earl said:
Historical standards will play a part but “I buy groceries, I buy gasoline” will play a larger part.
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Maybe, we will see how much this one deviates from historical standards and in which direction.
 
Jarod said:
Maybe, we will see how much this one deviates from historical standards and in which direction.
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Concerns about inflation are at the top of almost every poll.

Out of control inflation and out of control crime will be on the minds of voters.

Count on it.


1. Worry about inflation has now risen to the point where it is perceived by Americans as the top problem facing the nation.
https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/393584/americans-view-higher-inflation.aspx
 
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Earl said:
Concerns about inflation are at the top of almost every poll.

Out of control inflation and out of control crime will be on the minds of voters.

Count on it.


1. Worry about inflation has now risen to the point where it is perceived by Americans as the top problem facing the nation.
https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/393584/americans-view-higher-inflation.aspx
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First, only the fucking morons believe inflation and/or crime are "out of control".

Second, the global economy is suffering from inflation due to the pandemic and, as happens every ten years or so anyway, the global economy is looking at a recession.

Lastly, crime did start to rise during the COVID pandemic after falling for years but most people remain unaffected. This is an election year and it's common for partisan assholes running for office to exaggerate and fear-monger. Only the fucking morons believe it. Sane people look at the numbers.

Example: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-w...ies-understanding-recent-trends-violent-crime
Myths and Realities: Understanding Recent Trends in Violent Crime
After years of decline, crime rose during the Covid-19 pandemic, particularly violent crime. Using available but incomplete data, this analysis seeks to set out a clear and accurate summary of what is known so far about recent trends in crime and violence.

While researchers have begun to identify some of the factors that may have contributed to this upward trend, it is far too soon to say with certainty why crime rose over the last two years. This uncertainty itself should guide our understanding of crime trends today. It underscores the danger of jumping to conclusions — such as blaming specific, often newly implemented, policies. Lastly, the analysis points to promising new solutions that may address some of the factors behind recent crime trends.

At the outset, it’s important to note that this analysis focuses on the most serious offenses known to law enforcement. Other visible social problems like homelessness, and less serious offenses such as shoplifting, also affect perceptions of public safety and may be the subject of future analyses....

...Conclusion
While we don’t yet have a complete understanding of recent crime trends, we can state two things with confidence. First, recent crime increases do not fit conveniently into any political narrative. Second, it is vital that we look for creative solutions to national problems. Rising crime presents a challenge to communities across the country of all sizes and types. Now more than ever, policymakers must resist the temptation to oversimplify the many factors that shape public safety and instead prioritize solutions that build an enduring and holistic form of public safety.
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Obviously, the fucking morons loooove simple solutions since that's all they can understand.

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Earl said:
Concerns about inflation are at the top of almost every poll.

Out of control inflation and out of control crime will be on the minds of voters.

Count on it.


1. Worry about inflation has now risen to the point where it is perceived by Americans as the top problem facing the nation.
https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/393584/americans-view-higher-inflation.aspx
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Maybe, but many voters are smart enough to see that those problems are not specifically caused by one party or another.
 
Jarod said:
Maybe, but many voters are smart enough to see that those problems are not specifically caused by one party or another.
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The far left Democrat Socialists control the House, the Senate and the White House.

They control most of the large cities in America.

Who is to blame, the Martians?

There was no out of control inflation, crime and borders when President Trump was in office.

If he were in office now, you can bet that you and the rest of the far left loons would be blaming him...24/7.
 
Earl said:
The far left Democrat Socialists control the House, the Senate and the White House.

They control most of the large cities in America.

Who is to blame, the Martians?

There was no out of control inflation, crime and borders when President Trump was in office.

If he were in office now, you can bet that you and the rest of the far left loons would be blaming him...24/7.
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You do not believe that all the money pumped into the Economy during the Trump years contributed to / Caused the inflation?

Why does Germany have so much worse inflation than us?
 
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