Abnormal warm weather and El Niño = Warm Winter

Dutch Uncle

* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
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Who said Climate Change is all bad? LOL

Texas needs the rain. W00t


https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...m-noaa-snow-temperature-forecast/70968583007/
Let it snow? Winter predictions start as El Niño strengthens. Here's what forecasters say.
For those already pulling out sweaters and boots and hoping for a cold, snowy winter, the coming months could be disappointing, thanks to the influence of a strengthening El Niño.

Much of the northern half of the country is forecast to see greater chances for warmer than normal temperatures, thanks to a combination of El Niño and ongoing patterns of above-average heat in general, according to the latest predictions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That's especially the case for Maine and parts of western Washington and Oregon.

Across the South and much of the Atlantic coast into southern New England, the forecast calls for greater chances of a wetter than normal winter, said NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Parts of the Northwest, Mountain West and Great Lakes could see greater chances of below-normal precipitation../

...Discerning how conditions might respond to El Niño and the record warmth in many locations is one of the “major forecast challenges,” Rohde said. “El Niño effects will play a large role on weather patterns in coming months, but the unusual conditions in other ocean basins may make weather patterns this year harder to predict than in other El Niño years."

Combined, they're also contributing to a rise in global temperatures that is even faster than we would expect from an El Niño transition alone, Rohde said Tuesday....

...There's a lot going on in the global atmosphere and ocean sphere, Daniel Swain, a climatologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, wrote in his Weather West, a California weather and climate perspectives blog last week. "With record-breaking ocean warmth and a strong or very strong El Niño in place through the winter, it raises the risk of worsening drought in the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii. But it increases the odds of a wetter than usual winter in California."

The latest forecast shows the South with equal chances of above or below-normal temperatures this winter.


70979079007-seasonal-temperature-outlook.png


70979090007-seasonal-precip-outlook.png
 
Who said Climate Change is all bad? LOL

Texas needs the rain. W00t


https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...m-noaa-snow-temperature-forecast/70968583007/
Let it snow? Winter predictions start as El Niño strengthens. Here's what forecasters say.
For those already pulling out sweaters and boots and hoping for a cold, snowy winter, the coming months could be disappointing, thanks to the influence of a strengthening El Niño.

Much of the northern half of the country is forecast to see greater chances for warmer than normal temperatures, thanks to a combination of El Niño and ongoing patterns of above-average heat in general, according to the latest predictions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That's especially the case for Maine and parts of western Washington and Oregon.

Across the South and much of the Atlantic coast into southern New England, the forecast calls for greater chances of a wetter than normal winter, said NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Parts of the Northwest, Mountain West and Great Lakes could see greater chances of below-normal precipitation../

...Discerning how conditions might respond to El Niño and the record warmth in many locations is one of the “major forecast challenges,” Rohde said. “El Niño effects will play a large role on weather patterns in coming months, but the unusual conditions in other ocean basins may make weather patterns this year harder to predict than in other El Niño years."

Combined, they're also contributing to a rise in global temperatures that is even faster than we would expect from an El Niño transition alone, Rohde said Tuesday....

...There's a lot going on in the global atmosphere and ocean sphere, Daniel Swain, a climatologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, wrote in his Weather West, a California weather and climate perspectives blog last week. "With record-breaking ocean warmth and a strong or very strong El Niño in place through the winter, it raises the risk of worsening drought in the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii. But it increases the odds of a wetter than usual winter in California."

The latest forecast shows the South with equal chances of above or below-normal temperatures this winter.


70979079007-seasonal-temperature-outlook.png


70979090007-seasonal-precip-outlook.png

Not the temperature so much for those of us in Idaho, but below average precipitation does not bode well. We depend on snow pack to fill the reservoirs in the spring for irrigation purposes.
 
Not the temperature so much for those of us in Idaho, but below average precipitation does not bode well. We depend on snow pack to fill the reservoirs in the spring for irrigation purposes.

That won't be good for potato prices.
 
I have been watching the official long range weather forecasts over the last few years and I gotta tell you, they have not been all that useful.

Reminds me of the hurricane forecasts, which are usually Dog Shit.
 
But these fuckers are just sure they know what the weather will look like 100 years from now ...

COME ON PEOPLE.....stupid is a very painful affliction.
 
But these fuckers are just sure they know what the weather will look like 100 years from now ...

COME ON PEOPLE.....stupid is a very painful affliction.

They can't predict the weather from day to day.

Weather forecasts:

jerk-ken-jeong.gif


I never pay them any attention.
 
The 2023 Hurricane season is exceeding expectations due to the abnormal heat...and they are running out of names. LOL

https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story...orld-meteorological-organization/70988779007/
Hurricane season has 2 months to go and only 4 names left. What happens then?
With two months yet to go in the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, we're running out of names.

Seventeen of the 21 names for this season have been used. There are four names left on the list now that Tropical Storm Rina developed in the Atlantic on Thursday morning.

What would happen if we use up all the names on the list for the season, and who comes up with those names? Here are answers to your questions....

...The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration updated its forecast Aug. 10, predicting 14-21 named storms to develop this year, of which six to 11 could become hurricanes with two to five of those that could become major hurricanes.

AccuWeather's updated forecast released Sept. 7, predicted:

13-17 named storms (which are tropical storms and hurricanes)
4-8 hurricanes
3-5 major hurricanes

2-4 direct impacts for the United States, including Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
Colorado State University's updated forecast released Aug. 3 predicted 18 named storms and nine hurricanes. Four of the hurricanes are forecast to become major storms, of Category 3 or higher.


70988819007-2023-names-x.png
 
Coming soon to the UNINSURED Florida town.

...who'll be screaming for Federal dollars and bitch when they're told that program was cut by the MAGAts.

They should be sent a "Deepest Sympathy" card stating, "You've been screwed by your own elected representatives".
 
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