volsrock1
Verified User
nawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww
National Election - Trump 56.3% - Kamala 43.3% - Trump Surges To Betting Lead in Michigan and Wisconsin
- Thread starter volsrock1
- Start date
Good question, and the answer is seldom
Always comical to find they post something they think supports or strengthens your point and upon examining it does the complete opposite. Or, when the use what they present as an authoritative view only to discover it comes from some whacked out blog or individual.
volsrock1
Verified User
Using prediction market prices in this manner has yielded impressively accurate predictions for a wide array of outcomes, such as the winners of elections or sporting events, typically exceeding the accuracy of “just asking” methods such as opinion polls or expert forecasts (see Reference Wolfers and ZitzewitzWolfers & Zitzewitz, 2004; Reference RayRay, 2006, for reviews).
Ah, his follow-up response answered my question where upon I added an additional comment, try to keep up10 minutes ago you ponder what the fuck this thing is, now you are trying to explain it to others/
can someone say POSER
And once again, the market prices are set by those wagering, if some MaraLago lemming lays down millions on his Messiah it will alter the line, you are implying those participants are equated to voters
That you had no idea of this Nate Silver predictive market shows you are, as usual, the ignorant one in the room.
Once again playing catch-up.
NEXT
Yep,.........the old Ho sure is. Right down the shitter with the other turds , exactly where she belongs. Furthermore, you will have those that think like ME to thank for putting her there.
Exactly, you trust them more because Trump is far ahead, as with everything, if Trump were losing you’d quickly dismiss them as biased and conspiratorial
onto the next thing you are horribly ignorant on
how many times do we have to guide you though issues and facts before it occurs to you that your ignorance is directly related to your misguided vote?
BartenderElite
Verified User
MAGA just parrots Trump.
When he's up in the polls, he talks about them all the time. When he's down in the polls, they're fake.
It's comical how transparent & predictable it all is.
tic tic tic.......... I still haven't decided if you are going to one of the forced hard labor camps or just the re education camp yet. Mind your P's and Q's son.
Maybe, but be ready to accept it if Harris wins.
ExpressLane
Verified User
They aren't in the business of losing money.A gambling website.
Whatever Polymarket Is, It’s Not the Future of News
A betting market is gambling that financial incentives can be the ultimate arbiters of truth.
"If you’re a degenerate gambler then you probably already know that Polymarket is “predicting” that Trump will win the U.S. election. If you’re not a degenerate gambler, then you may not even know what Polymarket is.
The fast and simple version is that it’s a gambling website where users place bets on various events using crypto. The complicated answer is that it’s a website with VC funding, a newsletter, a comments section, an AI content generation deal, and a plan to pitch itself as the future of news. All of that is built around betting on stuff with crypto."
How Polymarket Works
Users can purchase either a yes or no “share” as a way of placing a bet on an answer. Buying a share of “Trump will win the presidency” costs 49.8¢ right now. If he wins, the user gets the difference, up to a dollar, back. So a Trump win would earn you 50.2¢ if a user locked in at 49.8."
Whatever Polymarket Is, It's Not the Future of News
A betting market is gambling that financial incentives can be the ultimate arbiters of truth.gizmodo.com
christiefan915
Catalyst
They won't go broke from people betting on sports, business, pop culture, crypto and science, in addition to politics.
serendipity
Verified User
You wouldn't want to know where his mouth has been!
serendipity
Verified User
10 minutes ago you ponder what the fuck this thing is, now you are trying to explain it to others/
can someone say POSER
POSEUR is better.