Some polls show a huge jump for Harris, others not so much.

Jarod

Jarod

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www.pbs.org

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside the poll’s 3.5-point margin of error.
www.pbs.org www.pbs.org

The polling industry is insane, some do what is called herding, that means they refuse to publish outliers, so they merge in the end to a safe space close to what others are doing... but this has the affect of a suprise result in the end.

The problem that results is that when there is an inconsistent result people refuse to believe it.

I suspect it is not as close as the polls are suggesting, but only insiders would see who its for.

It would be better if we did not have public polling, I know the campaigns have the data that would show a more realistic picture of what is going to happen, but that is not released to the public.
 
Jarod said:
www.pbs.org

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside the poll’s 3.5-point margin of error.
www.pbs.org www.pbs.org

The polling industry is insane, some do what is called herding, that means they refuse to publish outliers, so they merge in the end to a safe space close to what others are doing... but this has the affect of a suprise result in the end.

The problem that results is that when there is an inconsistent result people refuse to believe it.

I suspect it is not as close as the polls are suggesting, but only insiders would see who its for.

It would be better if we did not have public polling, I know the campaigns have the data that would show a more realistic picture of what is going to happen, but that is not released to the public.
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Your point? Oh, I forgot you need hourly attention.

iu
 
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Jarod said:
www.pbs.org

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside the poll’s 3.5-point margin of error.
www.pbs.org www.pbs.org

The polling industry is insane, some do what is called herding, that means they refuse to publish outliers, so they merge in the end to a safe space close to what others are doing... but this has the affect of a suprise result in the end.

The problem that results is that when there is an inconsistent result people refuse to believe it.

I suspect it is not as close as the polls are suggesting, but only insiders would see who its for.

It would be better if we did not have public polling, I know the campaigns have the data that would show a more realistic picture of what is going to happen, but that is not released to the public.
Click to expand...
Do you believe that Harris is +3 in Iowa?

Before you answer let me throw a little fun facts your way.

In 2020, Trump was +8 in Iowa over Biden and voter registration was +1R

in 2024 voter registration is +8R

For this poll to be right, that would mean A LOT of republicans think that Kamala Harris is all that. Do you believe that? Do you really?
 
Teflon Don said:
Do you believe that Harris is +3 in Iowa?

Before you answer let me throw a little fun facts your way.

In 2020, Trump was +8 in Iowa over Biden and voter registration was +1R

in 2024 voter registration is +8R

For this poll to be right, that would mean A LOT of republicans think that Kamala Harris is all that. Do you believe that? Do you really?
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I doubt it. Its only one poll, and the others suggest otherwise.
 
Jarod said:
www.pbs.org

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside the poll’s 3.5-point margin of error.
www.pbs.org www.pbs.org

The polling industry is insane, some do what is called herding, that means they refuse to publish outliers, so they merge in the end to a safe space close to what others are doing... but this has the affect of a suprise result in the end.

The problem that results is that when there is an inconsistent result people refuse to believe it.

I suspect it is not as close as the polls are suggesting, but only insiders would see who its for.

It would be better if we did not have public polling, I know the campaigns have the data that would show a more realistic picture of what is going to happen, but that is not released to the public.
Click to expand...
Pbs/npr poll? Lol of course that's objective like the view is objective.
 
Jarod said:
I doubt it. Its only one poll, and the others suggest otherwise.
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I believe that poll was a desperation play to try to boost democrat turnout. From what I have seen, democrat turnout is down, black turnout is down. The democrat party is down 700,000 votes from 2020 in early voting. They had a 1 million vote lead heading into election day in 2020. Today it is a little over 300,000. Bear in mind that PA is a typical election day state and that night before the monkeyshines, Trump was UP by 700,000 votes.

So unless there is some massive turnout campaign from the democrats tomorrow in PA, Harris may be in trouble. But, in the end it is all speculation off of reported numbers. We will all find out soon.

I do know this. The left is very subdued this time around. There is no cockiness like 2016 or 2020.
 
Jarod said:
You have looked at their methodology? Maybe.
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Funny how you maggots never like having your sources questioned. I dont trust those assholes or you, same thing, to tell the truth about anything. You people have shown how low you will go
 
Teflon Don said:
I believe that poll was a desperation play to try to boost democrat turnout. From what I have seen, democrat turnout is down, black turnout is down. The democrat party is down 700,000 votes from 2020 in early voting. They had a 1 million vote lead heading into election day in 2020. Today it is a little over 300,000. Bear in mind that PA is a typical election day state and that night before the monkeyshines, Trump was UP by 700,000 votes.

So unless there is some massive turnout campaign from the democrats tomorrow in PA, Harris may be in trouble. But, in the end it is all speculation off of reported numbers. We will all find out soon.

I do know this. The left is very subdued this time around. There is no cockiness like 2016 or 2020.
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So, is there a universe where you will believe a Harris win was valid?
 
Yakuda said:
Funny how you maggots never like having your sources questioned. I dont trust those assholes or you, same thing, to tell the truth about anything. You people have shown how low you will go
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I did not use them as a source to claim Harris was winning, how dumb are you?
 
Jarod said:
So, is there a universe where you will believe a Harris win was valid?
Click to expand...
If there are no shenanigans like there were in 2020, I will 100% accept the outcome and by that I mean

1) shutting down voting in the battleground states
2) TV stations refusing to report solidly red states for Trump while calling Arizona for Biden when it wasn't even close to being done
3) Endless stream of "found" ballots

Trust me, if the shoe was on the other foot and your side had to sit back and watch what we watched, you would not be taking it lightly. This is why we need to get back to a time where all the ballots are counted and done the night of the election
 
Teflon Don said:
If there are no shenanigans like there were in 2020, I will 100% accept the outcome and by that I mean

1) shutting down voting in the battleground states
2) TV stations refusing to report solidly red states for Trump while calling Arizona for Biden when it wasn't even close to being done
3) Endless stream of "found" ballots

Trust me, if the shoe was on the other foot and your side had to sit back and watch what we watched, you would not be taking it lightly. This is why we need to get back to a time where all the ballots are counted and done the night of the election
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None of the above actually happened.

It seems to me you and your ilk will make up a new round of lies if Harris wins, no matter what.
 
Jarod said:
I did not use them as a source to claim Harris was winning, how dumb are you?
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Once again you need to be told I'm not as dumb as you but you're an idiot so we don't expect much from you.

So ANOTHER meaningless thread started by an idiotic leftist. Forgot the redundancy there
 
Yakuda said:
Once again you need to be told I'm not as dumb as you but you're an idiot so we don't expect much from you.

So ANOTHER meaningless thread started by an idiotic leftist. Forgot the redundancy there
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Maybe take a nap or something, it will look better when you have rested.
 
Jarod said:
None of the above actually happened.

It seems to me you and your ilk will make up a new round of lies if Harris wins, no matter what.
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you weren't paying attention then. all of them happened

the news waited forever to call Texas and Ohio while calling Arizona early

Pennsylvania and Georgia shut down voting (remember the supposed water leak)?

And dribs and drabs of found ballots came streaming in "Oh, look this was in my trunk"
 
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