As usual, the FAKE media and Democrats are once again gaslighting us on the facts.
The report claims illegal aliens commit crimes at half the rate of native-born Americans and that legal immigrants commit crimes at just a quarter of the rate.
However, just like Cato’s previous efforts, this report falls short of credible analysis.
Cato’s strategy seems to be working. A McLaughlin & Associates survey commissioned by the Crime Prevention Research Center on April 29, just days after Cato released its latest report, shows that 41.6% of voters believe illegal immigrants commit fewer crimes than U.S. citizens. Only 33.3% think the opposite.
Cato once again leans heavily on data from the American Community Survey to support its claims but never adequately explains how flawed this dataset is for measuring crime rates when applied to illegal immigration. The statistical survey goes to about 3.5 million U.S. addresses yearly and asks participants to respond online or by mail. Cato specifically uses this survey data on prison populations to estimate how many inmates are illegal immigrants.
This method introduces serious bias. The American Community Survey likely undercounts criminal activity among illegal immigrants, leading to skewed results that understate the real scale of the issue.
For example, immigration authorities often deport undocumented immigrants directly from prison before they finish their sentences. Early this year, about half of the people U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement highlighted in enforcement actions were incarcerated at the time of their arrest. This practice skews crime data by underrepresenting illegal aliens in prison population statistics.
ICE’s Enforcement and Removal Operations records also show that local jails frequently transfer noncitizens arrested on charges such as DUI, drug possession or assault to ICE custody before the offenders serve any time in prison.
Authorities may also deport illegal aliens after arrest, even before conviction or sentencing. These removals typically result from policies that prioritize immigration enforcement over criminal prosecution. Because entering or remaining in the U.S. without authorization already qualifies a person for deportation, a conviction isn’t required to remove them.
Illegal immigrant crime rates higher than Cato Institute wants you to believe
The claim that illegal aliens commit crimes at lower rates than native-born Americans may look convincing, but it doesn’t hold up under scrutiny. One of the loudest advocates of this narrative has been the libertarian Cato Institute. Its reports, widely covered by news media, continue to help shape public opinion, including its latest release, “Illegal Immigrant Incarceration Rates, 2010-2023.”The report claims illegal aliens commit crimes at half the rate of native-born Americans and that legal immigrants commit crimes at just a quarter of the rate.
However, just like Cato’s previous efforts, this report falls short of credible analysis.
Cato’s strategy seems to be working. A McLaughlin & Associates survey commissioned by the Crime Prevention Research Center on April 29, just days after Cato released its latest report, shows that 41.6% of voters believe illegal immigrants commit fewer crimes than U.S. citizens. Only 33.3% think the opposite.
Cato once again leans heavily on data from the American Community Survey to support its claims but never adequately explains how flawed this dataset is for measuring crime rates when applied to illegal immigration. The statistical survey goes to about 3.5 million U.S. addresses yearly and asks participants to respond online or by mail. Cato specifically uses this survey data on prison populations to estimate how many inmates are illegal immigrants.
This method introduces serious bias. The American Community Survey likely undercounts criminal activity among illegal immigrants, leading to skewed results that understate the real scale of the issue.
For example, immigration authorities often deport undocumented immigrants directly from prison before they finish their sentences. Early this year, about half of the people U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement highlighted in enforcement actions were incarcerated at the time of their arrest. This practice skews crime data by underrepresenting illegal aliens in prison population statistics.
ICE’s Enforcement and Removal Operations records also show that local jails frequently transfer noncitizens arrested on charges such as DUI, drug possession or assault to ICE custody before the offenders serve any time in prison.
Authorities may also deport illegal aliens after arrest, even before conviction or sentencing. These removals typically result from policies that prioritize immigration enforcement over criminal prosecution. Because entering or remaining in the U.S. without authorization already qualifies a person for deportation, a conviction isn’t required to remove them.