2024 Specific Apolitical Predictions Thread... (for you psychotics)..

LurchAddams said:
There's only 6 months left in this year, so I'm going to say that in one year's time - driverless vehicles will take over 1/3 of the share of the entire shared-ride market. Sorry, Uber and Lyft!
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lol I think winos and illegal aliens will spot these driverless vehicles and throw themselves in front of them and htere will be so many lawsuits that whole driverless vehicle racket will disappear as fast as it came.
 
T. A. Gardner said:
We speak two languages here: Spanglish and Zonie.

"Where do you live?"

Me? In the 'Zone!"

2h0ije.jpg


This is why we're famous for our beautiful, psychedelic, sunsets...
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Only up in the Red Rocks.

Phoenix, like LA, is just an irrigated desert! We had to divert from PHX back to LAX once because the pilots were worried the planes tires would melt on the tarmac!
 
LurchAddams said:
Yeah, they're the world's 4th largest economy. The phone most people are using and most other modern electronics and tools in use in the entire world were likely invented and developed there.

Sux to be them :)
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Actually they were invented and developed by the govt., via military research, and merely modified and marketed to civilians after the main work was already paid for by taxpayer, same with pretty much everything else to do with electronics and engineering research. The U.S. has been subsidizing tech research from Day One, via it's two armories, West Point, and assorted contracts.
 
EdwinA said:
Actually they were invented and developed by the govt., via military research, and merely modified and marketed to civilians after the main work was already paid for by taxpayer, same with pretty much everything else to do with electronics and engineering research. The U.S. has been subsidizing tech research from Day One, via it's two armories, West Point, and assorted contracts.
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No. The government did NOT develop the iPhone. Steve Jobs did. The government did not invent the PC. Bill Gates did as a college dropout in his garage in Seattle.

Also blue jeans and WD-40 were invented by non-government scientists in California.

You Russian troll-farm drones really need to bone up on actual history before you post fiction like you just did.
 
LurchAddams said:
No. The government did NOT develop the iPhone. Steve Jobs did. The government did not invent the PC. Bill Gates did as a college dropout in his garage in Seattle.

Also blue jeans and WD-40 were invented by non-government scientists in California.

You Russian troll-farm drones really need to bone up on actual history before you post fiction like you just did.
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MIT invented the original internet with Project Charles, Whirlwind, and SAGE as part of a USAF project.
 
LurchAddams said:
Scott said:
I don't know if it's political or not, but I suspect there's going to be a recession or worse in the U.S. in 2024. Here's an article from February from Business Insider that also believes that a U.S. recession this year is very likely:

The US now has an 85% chance of recession in 2024, the highest probability since the Great Financial Crisis, economist David Rosenberg says | Business Insider

A little more digging and I found an article with the same general theme from Business Insider published -today-:

Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says | Business Insider

From the last linked article:

**
"The simple fact is that record highs in the equity market have buoyed the economic narrative. Yet despite one or two key data points coming in surprisingly robust — particularly non-farm payrolls and GDP — much else has looked frail," Edwards said in a note on Wednesday. "All this is (dangerously) reminiscent of 2007, when all around were telling me I was wrong and should give up calling that much-delayed recession," he later added.

Edwards was among the strategists who foresaw the dot-com crash in the early 2000s and the bursting of the bubble that kicked off the Great Financial Crisis.
**

There's also Warren Buffet's cashing in of a lot of his stocks as detailed in the following article from the end of February:

Warren Buffett's $168 billion cash pile signals he expects stocks to slide and a recession to strike, says top economist Steve Hanke | Business Insider
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Yeah - that is political. And the push back I get from trump's cult is, "the forecasters are partisan". Even if there is a recession during trump's current term his cult will buy the lie that it's "Biden's fault" or might even deny it's happening at all! I guarantee it!
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Well, I definitely think the -causes- of any recession are political, though I'd say it's not really married to any U.S. political party. Case in point, Business Insider put the chance of a recession in 2024, when Biden was President, at 85%, so clearly things were bad before Trump came into office. From what I've looked at recently, it looks like recession isn't just over the horizon just yet, but judging from past recessions, it seems that can change pretty quickly. Here's the introduction to an India Times Economic Times article last edited on July 15th:
**
The United States, fueled by President Donald Trump’s aggressive policies, is engaged in a trade war with the entire world. With inflation a concern, Trump's tariff orders have raised eyebrows with speculations that the country is on the brink of a recession. The US economy, which looked strong at the start of 2025, has been shaken up by trade policies and stagnation fears.

In its latest long-term economic projections from March 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has still suggested a soft landing for the economy with the slowing GDP growth but has not raised alarms of recession. But Trump’s bold policy measures have made the next several months a critical period for the US economy. In May 2025, J.P. Morgan Research had reduced the probability of a U.S. and global recession occurring from 60% to 40%.
**

Source:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com//news/international/us/us-facing-recession-due-to-trumps-aggressive-trade-policies-heres-a-reality-check/articleshow/122513510.cms

So better than the 85% probability from Business Insider at the start of 2024, but still not great.
 
LurchAddams said:
No. The government did NOT develop the iPhone. Steve Jobs did. The government did not invent the PC. Bill Gates did as a college dropout in his garage in Seattle.

Also blue jeans and WD-40 were invented by non-government scientists in California.

You Russian troll-farm drones really need to bone up on actual history before you post fiction like you just did.
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Pipe down you moron. You know exactly zero about the history of electronic communications development. You really are one butt stupid commie faggot.
 
More info on the beginnings of govt. funded research and development cross pollination of industry.


AI Overview

The Springfield Armory, established in 1777 in Massachusetts, played a crucial role in the development of manufacturing standardization and interchangeable parts in the United States. Initially focused on storing arms and ammunition, it evolved into a key site for weapon design, research, and production, significantly influencing American industrialization. The Armory's pioneering work in interchangeable parts, particularly through the use of specialized machinery like Thomas Blanchard's lathe, enabled mass production of firearms with standardized, replaceable components. This innovation had a ripple effect, impacting not only the firearms industry but also other manufacturing sectors.


Here's a more detailed look at the Springfield Armory's contributions:
Early Development and Standardization:
  • 1777:
    The Armory was established during the Revolutionary War, initially as a storage facility for weapons and ammunition.
  • 1794:
    The Armory began manufacturing muskets, marking the start of its role as a producer of weapons for the U.S. military.
  • 1819:
    Thomas Blanchard's invention of a lathe for creating identical gun stocks revolutionized firearm production, allowing for the mass production of standardized components.
  • Early 19th Century:
    The Armory became a hub for firearm design, research, and development, pioneering the concept of interchangeable parts.
Impact on Manufacturing:

The Armory's work on interchangeable parts, facilitated by specialized machinery and gauging systems, ensured that components could be used across multiple firearms, simplifying repairs and mass production.



The Armory adopted division of labor and specialized machine tools, further enhancing production capacity and efficiency.



The Springfield Armory's practices contributed to the development of the "American System of Manufacturing," which emphasized mass production through interchangeable parts and specialized machinery.



The principles pioneered at the Armory were adopted by other industries, contributing to the broader industrialization of the United States.



Later Developments and Closure:

    • Civil War:
      The Armory played a vital role in supplying weapons to the Union Army, demonstrating the effectiveness of its mass production methods.


    • While individual inventors came up with many inventions, it was usually govt. contracts and further development that gave them the means to and methods to develop them into viable products and developed the manufacturing processes to make them widely available and cheap enough for average people to buy.
 
goat said:
The charts project the Dow headed below 20,000. That's a 50% drop.
ShadowStats shows that unemployment hasn't dropped below 20% since 2008, or around 16 years.
Tech has already announced big layoffs for 2024.
This is not your typical correction. We're looking at near Great Recession unemployment and food prices that most people can't afford.

When Ben Bernanke was asked why banks are buying up all the gold at $2000 an oz, he said they're foolish because gold is worthless. What is Bernanke trying to hide?
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Yeah.... You suck at predicting things.
 
I predict that the democrat communist mamdani will become next mayor of N.Y.C., and that Florida and many other
southern red states will see a YUGE influx of N.Y.C. businesses fleeing from that disastrous communist run city.
 
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martin said:
Red Sox will win it all.
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I predict that even IF the Red Sox win it all,
I'll likely not watch.

I can't stand how they've ruined the game that I loved as a boy.

They lost four World Series in my lifetime--1946, 1967, 1975, and 1986.
Then they won four--2004, 2007, 2013, and 2018.
I've now seen enough. I can't live with all of Manfred's stupid innovations
or with "analytics" baseball.

I can't stand the lack of "starpower."

No Williams,
no Yaz or Tony C or Rico,
no Rice, Dewey, Boggs, or Clemens,
no Manny, Papi, or Pedro.

What fun is winning
if you don't care about the players on the field?
They don't keep anybody long enough to form a bond with the fans.
 
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