I predict that the S&P 500 will be well under 5,000 by September 30th

[Into the Night]

Here is what I literally said:


You may not like it, but I have made money this year. I did not make the huge payday I had wanted, but here is something to think about on that regard: if even one out of five investments that make a ten to one payoff works out, I double my money.

Stop making up shit about yourself, Wally.

 

[Into the Night]

You fall for the "everything I do not do must be easy" trap.

Making gasoline is easy.
It is even easier to make penicillin.

You just have no idea how this stuff is made.

All are hard work.

Making gasoline is not hard work. Making penicillin isn't hard work either.

Farming at scale requires a lot more industrial inputs than you seem to realize.

Nope. All you really need is the initiative to do it. I guess you have no clue how to stick a seed in the ground and to grow it into a mature plant. Just sunlight, water, and a bit of fertilizer.

What do you suppose will happen to you when your government check stops arriving?

What government check? I'm not dependent on the government like you are.

 

[Into the Night]

Why is a near embargo between the world's two largest trading partners a bad thing?

What embargo??

Because we will have fewer goods.

Domestic production, Wally.

You might argue that is just in the "short term" of a few years, but it still is bad for those years. I do not know why you are having so much trouble with this.

No trouble. Domestic production.

 

[IBDaMann]

@IBDaMann My prediction of $6,800.00 "on or about October 1st 2025" isn't looking too bad atm. (post #332, dated 07/10/2025)

Yes. It's looking like if this were The Price is Right then my bid will have gone over ... but if having too much faith in my country is wrong, then I don't want to be right.

 

[Phyllis Diller]

Why is a near embargo between the world's two largest trading partners a bad thing?

Because we will have fewer goods. You might argue that is just in the "short term" of a few years, but it still is bad for those years. I do not know why you are having so much trouble with this.

So much dumb

 

[IBDaMann]

Why is a near embargo between the world's two largest trading partners a bad thing? Because we will have fewer goods.

You've been belly-aching this for months. You know that your economics acument isn't getting any better. I just went to WalMart. The shelves are fully loaded. Costco shelves are fully loaded. All shelves everywhere are fully loaded.

Could I possibly persuade you to give the nay-saying delusions a rest? US GDP spiked 3.3% last quarter. $120 Billion in free money for the US over five months from a well-thought-out tariff plan. Things are GREAT ... not TERRIBLE.

 

[gfm7175]

You've been belly-aching this for months. You know that your economics acument isn't getting any better. I just went to WalMart. The shelves are fully loaded. Costco shelves are fully loaded. All shelves everywhere are fully loaded.

Could I possibly persuade you to give the nay-saying delusions a rest? US GDP spiked 3.3% last quarter. $120 Billion in free money for the US over five months from a well-thought-out tariff plan. Things are GREAT ... not TERRIBLE.

GDP is going to be even higher yet when the preliminary Q3 numbers come out at the end of next month.