Oil prices climbed while stocks are mixed after President Trump announced the extension of a ceasefire with Iran, prompting investors to wait and see if peace talks will resume.
With the Strait of Hormuz still blocked to Gulf energy transit, traders remain wary that attacks could resume – even though Wall Street indices are at record highs after recovering losses since the Middle East war erupted in late February.
Analysts say expectations are high that both Trump and Iranian authorities want to end a war that has sent oil and gas prices soaring, threatening economic growth worldwide.
Equity investors “seem convinced that the war will soon be over, or that it will have little effect on the US economy, even if energy prices remain relatively elevated”, said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.
With Hormuz oil shipments still shut, Asian and European countries that rely most on Middle East energy supplies are scrambling to cope with soaring inflation that could derail growth.
“The ceasefire extension hasn’t done much to calm nerves given that worries remain about the impact of the energy squeeze on the global economy,” said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club.