๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฝ ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ถ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. ๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ....

a cartoon character pointing at the word ha on a blue background



:magagrin:


Going to be a real blast pulling back up these lefty threads now that IRAN AND CHINA have BENT THE KNEE! Good times !
 
T. A. Gardner said:
Seems to be working to me...


www.pbs.org

Why a U.S. blockade on Iran seems to be working

Iran-linked or sanctioned vessels that have left the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz have stopped or turned around, shipping data firms say. They appear to have jammed or faked their locations in some instances, complicating an uncertain and risky shipping situation.
www.pbs.org www.pbs.org

Click to expand...
How does anyone know who is blocking who?
 

1) Is there actually a U.S. blockade?​


Yes โ€” in a limited, defined sense.


  • The U.S. began a naval blockade targeting ships entering/exiting Iranian ports and oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz region in April 2026.
  • It is being enforced with interceptions, warnings, and some seizures.
  • The stated goal is to disrupt Iranian seaborne trade and pressure negotiations.

So the premise โ€œa U.S. blockade existsโ€ is true.



2) Is it โ€œworkingโ€?​


โœ” In a narrow operational sense: partially yes​


Evidence suggests:


  • Dozens of ships have been turned back or deterred
  • Some Iranian-linked oil shipments have stopped or rerouted
  • U.S. forces report reduced export flows through Iranian ports

So:


It is having real disruption effects on maritime traffic
Click to expand...


โš ๏ธ But it is NOT a complete shutdown​


Other reporting shows:


  • Some vessels still bypass or evade enforcement (spoofing, rerouting, โ€œshadow fleetโ€ tactics)
  • Analysts say the success rate is mixed and difficult to measure
  • Even pro-blockade sources acknowledge it is selective, not absolute

So:


It is not a total or airtight blockade
Click to expand...


3) The key issue: โ€œworkingโ€ is a political word here​


Different groups mean different things:


If โ€œworkingโ€ = some disruption achieved​


โ†’ Yes, it is working


If โ€œworkingโ€ = fully stopping Iranian exports​


โ†’ No, it is not fully working


If โ€œworkingโ€ = forcing political surrender​


โ†’ Not clear / too early / unproven



4) Why there is disagreement​


The confusion comes from 3 things:


1. Different definitions of โ€œblockadeโ€​


  • Military definition = targeting specific flows (ports, sanctioned cargo)
  • Public perception = โ€œnothing gets throughโ€

2. Propaganda on both sides​


  • U.S. statements emphasize success rates
  • Critics emphasize evasion and loopholes

3. Measurement difficulty​


  • Shipping data can be spoofed or obscured
  • โ€œShadow fleetโ€ oil transfers are hard to track


Bottom line​


  • โœ” The blockade exists and is actively enforced
  • โœ” It is partially effective at disrupting Iranian shipping
  • โŒ It is not a complete shutdown of maritime trade
  • โŒ โ€œFully workingโ€ depends heavily on political interpretation, not a settled fact
 
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