ITs going to be an interesting election. I suspect close, but IDK. Some of it depends on what the economy does and some depends on how excited the evangelicals can get over Romney.
Will Newt endorse Romney? (I suspect so, but lukewarmly)
Will the Conservatives run a third party canidate? (I suspect someone might run, but fairly uncredably)
Will the Radicals stay home or go out and vote for Romeny? (I wonder if hate for Obama will be enough to get them out)
Will the economy continue to improve?(Yes, but will it be enough?)
Will the Republicans convence enough people that a double dip is upon us? (No because its not true, though not from a lack of trying on there part)