2026 Non-Political Predictions Thread

Ok - predictions - tech:

Laptops will become a thing of the past as most business go to phones and tablets for all operations.

AI - will start displacing service representatives for resolving customer issues. The only profession unaffected will be my profession, sales - why? Because human interaction is what it takes to build trust and to get people to buy.

Entertainment

Movie theatres - as we all stream pretty much everything everywhere all the time, how much longer can these movie theaters - in expensive rental properties hang on?

Music - no one will ever "buy" any music again. Artists will depend on residuals from steaming platforms for all their income.

Conveyances

ICE engines will lose the war as all car companies again begin transitioning to electric - why? We're going to run out of petroleum - not tomorrow, but we will - and with nothing to replace it what are we gonna do, ride bikes to Mexico for vacation?

Cities and states will begin upgrading highways and major roadways to interface with vehicle self-driving technology. In other words, where Elon's vehicles failed because they were attempting to operate autonomously, now there will be safeguards built in to our infrastructure to make sure if something in the vehicle fails, the cities' tech will take control and avoide incidents.
 
Ok - predictions - tech:

Laptops will become a thing of the past as most business go to phones and tablets for all operations.

I doubt this. Desktop systems are cheaper and less prone to 'walking off' than portables and all that's needed for many jobs. They will get more compact in overall size, but they'll still be out there.
AI - will start displacing service representatives for resolving customer issues. The only profession unaffected will be my profession, sales - why? Because human interaction is what it takes to build trust and to get people to buy.

Got news for you, AI is already infiltrating sales. AI looks at what a customer has bought and various algorithms are used to suggest products in addition to what the customer orders. In other cases, automated sales are becoming far more standard. I've just seen this with E M Jorgensen steel and Tube Service Co. ordering stock for example.

Direct sales may still need human interaction, but over-the-counter is going towards AI.
Entertainment

Movie theatres - as we all stream pretty much everything everywhere all the time, how much longer can these movie theaters - in expensive rental properties hang on?

Movie theaters will have to change and offer something as a package experience to draw viewers. Otherwise, yes, they'll disappear. One change I've noted is they all now sell alcohol as well as the traditional concessions. There's also the dinner and a movie thing although that hasn't as widely caught on.
Music - no one will ever "buy" any music again. Artists will depend on residuals from steaming platforms for all their income.

Renting stuff is a bad idea, but it is the direction a lot of things are going. For example, if you have a collection of old vinyl it could be worth considerable money. Renting your music doesn't get you any value later.
Conveyances

ICE engines will lose the war as all car companies again begin transitioning to electric - why? We're going to run out of petroleum - not tomorrow, but we will - and with nothing to replace it what are we gonna do, ride bikes to Mexico for vacation?

I disagee. EV's are very unpopular and the only way they get traction in the market is by government coercion. You can see that right now. People are simply not buying them. Europe and China are forcing conversion but that won't last if an alternative appears. Ford and GM both just cut back massively on their EV models after losing billions. Tesla just dropped two of their mid-range models because they don't sell well. The best alternatives are hydrogen and anhydrous ammonia. I think anhydrous ammonia would be the best choice here.

Oil is renewable but it seems for the present that it isn't running out any time soon.
Cities and states will begin upgrading highways and major roadways to interface with vehicle self-driving technology. In other words, where Elon's vehicles failed because they were attempting to operate autonomously, now there will be safeguards built in to our infrastructure to make sure if something in the vehicle fails, the cities' tech will take control and avoide incidents.
Self-driving is very likely. With AI and things like Uber, the way to go forward is to set up mass autonomous individual transportation systems. That is, you schedule a ride from A to B. The vehicle shows up, takes you directly to your destination (automated driving). When you are done at that destination, you schedule another and it takes you home. The time between scheduling and arrival is a matter of minutes at most in more urban areas. This won't work very well in more rural areas however so, having a private vehicle will continue, but the need will decrease.
 
I doubt this. Desktop systems are cheaper and less prone to 'walking off' than portables and all that's needed for many jobs. They will get more compact in overall size, but they'll still be out there.
I guess for in-office operations - you might be correct, accountants and other adminstrative staff need big screens to process their crap. So there will at least need to be dumb terminals tied to a central server in an office setting.

I was refering more to field operations - like sales or service techs - not one of my tech teammates working with my in my last postion ever even used their issued laptops - even for doing their self-evals.
Got news for you, AI is already infiltrating sales. AI looks at what a customer has bought and various algorithms are used to suggest products in addition to what the customer orders. In other cases, automated sales are becoming far more standard. I've just seen this with E M Jorgensen steel and Tube Service Co. ordering stock for example.
Not for operations where building trust with your service is a concern. The GM of a hotel would much rather have a service tech or a salesperson come in and talk to him rather than have to go through a multi-step online inquiry.
Direct sales may still need human interaction, but over-the-counter is going towards AI.
Yes, that's my industry - outside sales.
Movie theaters will have to change and offer something as a package experience to draw viewers. Otherwise, yes, they'll disappear. One change I've noted is they all now sell alcohol as well as the traditional concessions. There's also the dinner and a movie thing although that hasn't as widely caught on.
Yep, there's a theater by my house that serves full, multi-course dinners to patrons during the movie - there are several like that now. So I guess for dating - that might be a popular thing to do. You know - for the next time Pete Hegseth wants to take his boyfriend out for a nice time!
Renting stuff is a bad idea, but it is the direction a lot of things are going. For example, if you have a collection of old vinyl it could be worth considerable money. Renting your music doesn't get you any value later.
I stupidly sold all my vinyl to clear out storage space several years ago - stupid! Although I did hold on to the Beattle's Albums.. those will be worth a pretty penny when I give them to my kids.
I disagee. EV's are very unpopular and the only way they get traction in the market is by government coercion. You can see that right now. People are simply not buying them. Europe and China are forcing conversion but that won't last if an alternative appears. Ford and GM both just cut back massively on their EV models after losing billions. Tesla just dropped two of their mid-range models because they don't sell well. The best alternatives are hydrogen and anhydrous ammonia. I think anhydrous ammonia would be the best choice here.
Well, you'd better not tell Elon. He and his shareholders are banking on EV's being the way of the future - and I'm willing to admit that Elon knows more than you and I about that.
Oil is renewable but it seems for the present that it isn't running out any time soon.
Well - lets hope we find an alternative before we do - because wait until we're fighting over cans of gas!
Self-driving is very likely. With AI and things like Uber, the way to go forward is to set up mass autonomous individual transportation systems. That is, you schedule a ride from A to B. The vehicle shows up, takes you directly to your destination (automated driving). When you are done at that destination, you schedule another and it takes you home. The time between scheduling and arrival is a matter of minutes at most in more urban areas. This won't work very well in more rural areas however so, having a private vehicle will continue, but the need will decrease.
My point is that currently self-driving tech is less than perfect. If you have a safeguard, like sentries at each major intersection that can override your vehicle's controls and prevent collisions, the tech would be much more safe - of course - if a traffic system can hack your car - ....... Perhaps we'd need some kind of encryption key added that hackers can't break.
 
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