A Little Pandemic Perspective, If You Please, Joe

The Bare Knuckled Pundit

Grand Inquisitor
In yet another case of his candor and off-the-cuff remarks coming back to haunt him, Vice President Joe Biden has inadvertently tossed fuel on the growing fires of fear sweeping the globe far faster than the swine flu pandemic that sparked the emotional firestorm in the first place.

Speaking on NBC's "Today" show this morning, when asked about whether he would advise family members to take public transportation, Biden replied, "I wouldn't go anywhere in confined places now."

Biden appeared on the morning news-talk show the day after public health officials confirmed the first domestic - though alien - death from the flu that has now spread to 10 states nationally.

The perpetually-verbose VP went on to tell show host Matt Lauer, "I would tell members of my family, and I have, I wouldn't go anywhere in confined places now. It's not that it's going to Mexico, it's you're in a confined aircraft when one person sneezes it goes all the way through the aircraft. That's me. I would not be, at this point, if they had another way of transportation suggesting they ride the subway. "

As tens of thousands of children were off from school in the wake of isolated outbreaks in New York, Texas, California and other states, the Vice President implied more widespread school closures may be necessary in the near future.

"If you're out in the middle of a field and someone sneezes that's one thing. If you're in a closed aircraft or a closed container or closed car or closed classroom it's a different thing."

Borrowing a line from the Vice President's beguilingly bespectacled Republican counterpart in the fall campaign, "Say it ain't so, Joe."

However unintentional it may have been, Biden's comments added to a growing sense of anxiety and fear sweeping across the nation; particularly in large metropolitan areas where public mass transit is an integral part of daily life. While his office later issued a clarification of his remarks, the damage had already been done. Sort of like closing the gate after the swine has already gotten out of the pen, as it were.

Though I am admittedly the farthest thing from a public health expert you'll find and don't have an MD after my name, I'm going to go out on a limb and write you a prescription for a prophylactic in response to the spreading contagion of virulent fear.

Take one healthy dose of perspective and supplement it with frequent applications of common sense. Repeat daily until symptoms subside, panic and paranoia passes and the press moves on to the next big headline-grabbing crisis.

Being a good physician, I'll be more than happy to give you a couple of free samples before I send you on your merry and hopefully healthful way. Here goes....

- In 2007, there were 5,488 work-related deaths in the US. That works out to 15 a day.

- In an average year, 13,322 Americans die from falls of one sort or another. Those are accidental, not intentional and suicidal, mind you. That's 36 a day. And be sure to watch your step on your way out.

- Each year, more than 40,000 of our fellow countrymen die in car accidents. In 2005, 43,443 were killed on our highways, byways, sundry roads and thoroughfares. That's 119 a day.


Those unfortunate 119 souls that will die in auto accidents today outnumber the total amount of currently confirmed cases of swine flu across the country.

Let me repeat that, just to be sure we're all on the same page.

More people will die today in car accidents than there are total confirmed cases of the dreaded, fear-inspiring swine flu in our nation of over 300 million. Moreover, out of those more than 300 million happy souls, not a single American citizen - either born or naturalized - has died in the US. The lone death on American soil was a Mexican infant visiting relatives in Texas.

But the World Health Organization (WHO) says we're on the verge of a global pandemic, you say! They've raised their pandemic alert level to Phase 5!

Fair enough. WHO has indeed raised the pandemic alert level to Phase 5. But what really is the threshold for this? Let's take a look at both Phase 5 and Phase 6, shall we?

WHO's site states -

Phase 5 is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region. While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short.

Phase 6, the pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will indicate that a global pandemic is under way.

Using WHO's own exceedingly low threshold criteria with confirmed cases of swine flu in 11 countries worldwide, we are either in or on the verge of a pandemic. The key here, however, is the low threshold that triggers this designation.

From that pool of 11 countries with confirmed infections, there is a total of 257 officially reported cases. Granted, the US has the largest share with 109. Yet, to put this into an even broader context, WHO currently places the global death toll at seven - yes, seven out of a total global population of 6 billion-plus. All of those seven either occurred in or can be traced back to Mexico.

Is it possible the virus may mutate into a true global menace, resulting in thousands or even tens of thousands of deaths, of course. Bear in mind, though, on average more than 30,000 Americans die each year from the flu strain de jour.

So, take your daily dose of perspective, apply common sense liberally, wash your hands thoroughly with hot water and anti-bacterial soap and go about your daily routine. And rest assured, there'll be something else the media wants you to loose sleep over next week. Don't worry, though. Just give me a call and I'll be more than happy to refill your prescription and adjust your meds as needed.

Don't forget to stop by the payment window on your way out, faithful readers. We accept all major insurance plans and credit cards; no checks, though, please.

Stay tuned for further updates as events warrant and Vice President Biden performs a guest quadruple bypass and kidney transplant after successfully separating conjoined twins on the next episode of "The Doctors".
 
Can someone explain to me why this version of the flu is creating such panic?

From what I have seen, it might spread a bit faster but seems no more deadly than most versions of the flu. We lose an average of 35,000 people a year to influenza without any fanfare.

Now the VP is advising us to avoid buses, trains and planes?
 
Pandemic, the liberals will never understand that word, hell, i don't even understand it
 
Biden is well known for putting his foot in his mouth. And not immune to critism of the act like Bush was.
 
well mister smartie britches, bush could put both his feet in his mouth at the same time, I dont think biden could do that like our bush.
 
well mister smartie britches, bush could put both his feet in his mouth at the same time, I dont think biden could do that like our bush.

Amazing he only choked on a pretzel isn't it?]

I did hear he used Dr. Scholls breath mints.
 
he sure wasnt a good alaskan we dont use breath mints and neither do texans.

we never choke on pretzels either that comes from chewing on the whale blubber here in wainwright, oops i mean when i use to be at wainwright, top secret, cant give away my destination one reason i change names to desgiuse my identity

i have said too much already
 
Has anybody else noticed that every place except the US is calling this the "Mexican Flu", but here in the US we are now not supposed to even call it the "Swine Flu" anymore, it's now the H1N1 flu virus?

Visions of "Newspeak" and 1984 come to mind.
 
Has anybody else noticed that every place except the US is calling this the "Mexican Flu", but here in the US we are now not supposed to even call it the "Swine Flu" anymore, it's now the H1N1 flu virus?

Visions of "Newspeak" and 1984 come to mind.

definitely. I noticed earlier this week that some of the anti-gun talking heads are now calling it 'gun recovery' instead of confiscation, as if guns were a government property piece or something.
 
Has anybody else noticed that every place except the US is calling this the "Mexican Flu", but here in the US we are now not supposed to even call it the "Swine Flu" anymore, it's now the H1N1 flu virus?

Visions of "Newspeak" and 1984 come to mind.


The WHO actually is the organization that started the whole H1N1 thing and it is my understanding that we followed suit. Other folks are still calling it "Swine Flu." The "Mexican Flu" thing came from the Israelis because swine isn't kosher.

I don't know that it is Newspeaky though. My recollection of Newspeak was that the point is to have the new term evoke something opposite of what the term actually describes. So a Newspeak version would be something like Pleasure Bug.
 
The WHO actually is the organization that started the whole H1N1 thing and it is my understanding that we followed suit. Other folks are still calling it "Swine Flu." The "Mexican Flu" thing came from the Israelis because swine isn't kosher.

I don't know that it is Newspeaky though. My recollection of Newspeak was that the point is to have the new term evoke something opposite of what the term actually describes. So a Newspeak version would be something like Pleasure Bug.
That wasn't exactly how Newspeak worked. The plan was to make it so that nobody could express certain things in the current language. However, it was also to simplify. In the book the dude that was questioning Winston expressed pride in how the language was actually contracting as the State continued to put forward new dictionaries with accepted Newspeak.

So, you wouldn't say something was "bad" that word was gone, it was ungood. Something wasn't very good it was plusgood, and if it was extremely good it was doubleplusgood (doubleplusungood for "bad"). The idea was the word was changed only by prefixes and thus many words were eliminated and certain ideas became impossible to express in language, the author made the point that such things as the Declaration of Independence lost all meaning if written in "Newspeak" as the word "freedom" no longer existed and replaced with "good".

You are thinking of "Newthink", where somebody was able to hold two contradictory ideas in their head at the same time and "know" that both were true. Like the idea that "the horse is already out of the barn so we shouldn't shut the barn door", (the part of that we aren't seeing: we may as well let all the other horses free too and ignore that we are exacerbating the situation...).
 
That wasn't exactly how Newspeak worked. The plan was to make it so that nobody could express certain things in the current language. However, it was also to simplify. In the book the dude that was questioning Winston expressed pride in how the language was actually contracting as the State continued to put forward new dictionaries with accepted Newspeak.

So, you wouldn't say something was "bad" that word was gone, it was ungood. Something wasn't very good it was plusgood, and if it was extremely good it was doubleplusgood (doubleplusungood for "bad"). The idea was the word was changed only by prefixes.

You are thinking of "Newthink", where somebody was able to hold two contradictory ideas in their head at the same time and "know" that both were true. Like the idea that "the horse is already out of the barn so we shouldn't shut the barn door", (the part of that we aren't seeing: we may as well let all the other horses free too...).


But I thought part of the deal was that things would be named for their opposite such that the Ministry of War was named the Ministry of Peace, the Ministry of Propaganda was named the Ministry of Truth and the like.
 
But I thought part of the deal was that things would be named for their opposite such that the Ministry of War was named the Ministry of Peace, the Ministry of Propaganda was named the Ministry of Truth and the like.
That was part of Newthink. The contradictory terms held in the mind that you knew to be "true" even though you knew them to contradict in reality. The best of the best were able to do as Winston did at the end and truly believe it.
 
But I thought part of the deal was that things would be named for their opposite such that the Ministry of War was named the Ministry of Peace, the Ministry of Propaganda was named the Ministry of Truth and the like.

or that a tax increase is only repaying part of your rebate check?
 
That wasn't exactly how Newspeak worked. The plan was to make it so that nobody could express certain things in the current language. However, it was also to simplify. In the book the dude that was questioning Winston expressed pride in how the language was actually contracting as the State continued to put forward new dictionaries with accepted Newspeak.

So, you wouldn't say something was "bad" that word was gone, it was ungood. Something wasn't very good it was plusgood, and if it was extremely good it was doubleplusgood (doubleplusungood for "bad"). The idea was the word was changed only by prefixes and thus many words were eliminated and certain ideas became impossible to express in language, the author made the point that such things as the Declaration of Independence lost all meaning if written in "Newspeak" as the word "freedom" no longer existed and replaced with "good".


You are thinking of "Newthink", where somebody was able to hold two contradictory ideas in their head at the same time and "know" that both were true. Like the idea that "the horse is already out of the barn so we shouldn't shut the barn door", (the part of that we aren't seeing: we may as well let all the other horses free too and ignore that we are exacerbating the situation...).

Your "horse" analogy, deserves and earns you a rep point.
Excellent :hand:
 
Back
Top