So far the only one who won was the one congressperson that he didn't campaign for in NY. Yeah, I'd avoid him. He was out here for Bennett and he dropped like a rock in the polls, now Romanov is almost even with him in the primary polling...
We will see, but as far as the 2010 elections are concerned history says you are correct.
It also says that they will be scrambling for his support in 2012.