Both RCP and 538 believe Republicans will take the House....

a-man-with-a-shade-said-duh-meme.png
 
538 predicts a 73% chance that Republicans will win the House. That is different than saying that it will definitely happen.

LOL.. it really isn't.. they're predicting a red wave. Now for the good part. Remember 2016? Who was 538 predicting would win all the way up to 11/7?

Hillary.

No one knows what's going to happen. That's not comforting, I know.. but no one really knows.. not 538, not anyone.
 
thanks Grind......but they are predicting the Republicans will hold 226 of the 218 seats they need to control the House.....
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/?cid=rrpromo

They are predicting a 73% chance that will happen. That is different than saying it absolutely will happen.

If Republicans do not win the House, you will claim 538 was wrong, where they will say the thing they gave a 27% chance of happening happened, and therefore they were still right.
 
LOL.. it really isn't.. they're predicting a red wave. Now for the good part. Remember 2016? Who was 538 predicting would win all the way up to 11/7?

Hillary.

No one knows what's going to happen. That's not comforting, I know.. but no one really knows.. not 538, not anyone.

You really call that a red waive? That would be huge underperforming considering the dynamics at play.
 
Democrats could keep the senate, which was unthinkable until Trump chose Oz and Hershel.
 
They are predicting a 73% chance that will happen. That is different than saying it absolutely will happen.

If Republicans do not win the House, you will claim 538 was wrong, where they will say the thing they gave a 27% chance of happening happened, and therefore they were still right.

would it have been that hard for you to just click on the link and say "oh, I guess I'm being an idiot"?.......
 
no real surprises.....Nancy will no longer be the speaker.......

Duh. All intelligent people saw this coming last year. It's been a common trend for decades.

When neither party represents most Americans, their best strategy is to always vote for the Challenger. Not a wave, but certainly a change of control for two years.

If the Republicans fuck this up, they'll be handing the Democrats both Congress and the WH in 2024.
 
so then we agree that all the lib'ruls here who've been denying it are not intelligent people.......
Christians know about "Hope", Satan's minions only know hate.

Most of JPP's Liberals knew it was likely they'd lose Congress last year. The SCOTUS decision gave them hope...and the stats back that up. The odds still favor a Republican House win, but even McConnell admitted that a Senate win was dicey.
 
I refuse to predict what is going to happen on November 8.

Who knows how much CHEATING the Republicans will be getting by with!

I'll just say it loud and clear- IF THE DEMOCRATS LOSE THE HOUSE OR CONGRESS- IT WILL BE BECAUSE THE REPULSIVE REPUBLICANS CHEATED!
 
538 predicts a 73% chance that Republicans will win the House. That is different than saying that it will definitely happen.

Walt, whats going to definitely happen is a red tsunami sweeping the country and taking over the House and the Senate. It's not an "if". ;)
 
No one knows what's going to happen. That's not comforting, I know.. but no one really knows.. not 538, not anyone.

Only the deaf, dumb and blind don't know what's going to happen. The Democrats are going to get hammered. I hope you have stocked up on your meds. It might push loony leftist liars over the top.

But hey, if you do kill yourself, one less lying dumbass on the planet can't be bad right?
 
They are predicting a 73% chance that will happen. That is different than saying it absolutely will happen.

If Republicans do not win the House, you will claim 538 was wrong, where they will say the thing they gave a 27% chance of happening happened, and therefore they were still right.

Desperate flailing doesn't make a very convincing argument.
 
Democrats could keep the senate, which was unthinkable until Trump chose Oz and Hershel.

Not going to happen. Dems are losing bigly in many of their races. Stock up on your meds. Lord knows you went full retard last time it happened.
 
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