CBS/NYT poll has surprising results...

[Alias]

I think you're wrong. I think Mitt would lose and Santorum would get crushed in a landslide. The poll you site shows a clear advantage for Obama over Romney by 3 pts. That's right at the margin of error. The RCP average favors Obama at 2.7 point advantage. Again, these numbers don't reflect on the electoral calculus where if you look at the swing States Obama is showing a small but clear advantage in 7 of the 10 swing states.

You're also failing to look at the polling numbers for women (you do seem to have a habit of discounting them). In the last few months Obama's general approval rating with women has jumped by 10%. Not only that but Obama has a clear cut lead over Romney, that is well outside the margin of error, with women voters 54% to 41% lead over Romney. Romney should be extremely worried by this!

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
http://www.wjla.com/articles/2012/02/women-s-support-of-obama-is-growing-poll-shows--73117.html

If Obama has been gaining with women then why all the ginned up "republican war on women"? Your pals know what the score is and so do I. Obama is in trouble.

 

[Mott the Hoople]

If Obama has been gaining with women then why all the ginned up "republican war on women"? Your pals know what the score is and so do I. Obama is in trouble.

Yes, he is. Keep telling your self that and if you form a prayer circle with Santa Clause, The Easter Bunny, The Great Pumpkin and the Tooth Fairy, it just might come true!

 

[Cancel 2018. 3]

I agree. I think the current crop has ran to far to the right and hurt themselves. I think you have to be careful also when looking at poll numbers in that you have to evaluate them not only on how they impact the popular vote but the electoral vote as well. Even if Obama's popularity in California or New York is currently declining does anyone seriously think Romney will win either of these States?

no