States with Minimum Wages above the Federal Level have had Faster Small Business and Retail Job Growth
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Conclusions
A growing body of both empirical and theoretical work has called into question the long-held prediction that a higher minimum wage will reduce the number of jobs.
A more nuanced model of how the economy operates has superceded the simplistic supply and demand theoretical model that is the basis for this prediction. This more sophisticated labor market model suggests that employers are likely to respond to a wage increase by improving the skills of their workers and becoming more efficient, and that slightly higher wages would be offset by savings from reduced turnover and higher productivity.
Recent empirical evidence supports this new theoretical understanding. As the 1999 Economic Report of the President indicated,
studies of the 1996 and 1997 federal minimum wage increases found that there were no adverse employment effects.
In the eight and a half years since the federal minimum wage was last increased, several states have enacted and maintained state minimum wage levels above the federal $5.15 hourly minimum.
It is now possible to make job growth comparisons over several years between a set of states that have had higher minimum wages than the federal level for a number of years and the remaining states where the $5.15 federal minimum wage has prevailed for most of the period since 1997. This report makes such comparisons, for employment in all industries together and for the retail trade industry, the lowest-wage industry and thus the industry most likely to be affected by the minimum wage. The results clearly point toward no adverse employment effects in the higher minimum wage states between January 1998 and January 2006.
In fact, the findings show that job growth in the higher minimum wage states surpassed that in the remaining states.
A detailed comparison in New York showed that retail employment grew faster than employment as a whole after that state’s minimum wage increase in 2005. It is sometimes suggested that small businesses are the most vulnerable to minimum wage increases. Some observers contend that small businesses that are labor intensive and that largely employ low-wage workers will experience sharp cost increases, leading them to reduce employment levels. This report also examined the trends in employment and total payroll for small businesses employing fewer than 50 workers in the higher minimum wage states compared to the remaining states.
For the 1998 to 2003 period for which analysis is possible using the latest Commerce Department data, employment and payroll growth in the higher minimum wage states consistently performed better than in the remaining states.
This analysis should further call into question notions that an increase in the minimum wage will hurt small businesses overall or employment in small businesses in the aggregate.
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CHANGE really is necessary in the US .. change away from the mind-fuck notions of the past and change into what is best for the people of this nation, not just corporations.