Death rate is .1 to .4 percent
- Thread starter Quasar44
- Start date
Not only is that extreme bullshit but the virus can permanently damage your lungs even if it passes. Grow up, be a responsible adult. Even if this were to just blow over in some miracle or act of God, you still need to behave yourselves and not stand up on this ride because you're bored. Why? Because the realities of what could happen supersede your spoiled whelp fits. Now grow up or go sit at the kid's table with all the others that need guidance so they don't have ice cream for breakfast or try to pet a skunk. You people can't even bother to wear a mask when you get what you want.
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Not just lungs, this bug attacks many different organs. Surely you have heard that dialysis machines are in shorter supply than ventilators. Then there are all of the problems that Ventilators cause. Then there are all of the problems that the drugs used to try to beat back this bug cause. Then there are....
barf
Let's do some simple math to find out if you could possibly be correct.
If we assume EVERY person in each location has Covid 19, these are the percentages
Location .....Population .....Deaths..... Death/population
Bronx NYC .... 1,418,000 .. 4,285 ...... 0.30%
Queens NYC .. 2,273,000 .. 5,982 ...... 0.26%
Brooklyn NYC . 2,533,000 .. 6,437 ...... 0.25%
Manhattan .... 1,629,000 .. 2,779 ....... 0.17%
Richmond Cty .. 476,143 .. ...937 ........ 0.20%
Rockland Cty .... 325,789 .... 611 ........ 0.19%
So even if every person was infected in NYC and the surrounding areas the death rate has to be above .2% and really needs to be above .3%.
But if we look at testing in NY, only 25% of tests show a positive result. If we simply assume that the same 25% of general population was infected that means we need to multiply our numbers by 4.
Bronx NYC .... 1.21 %
Queens NYC .. 1.05%
Brooklyn NYC . 1.01%
Manhattan .... 0.68%
Richmond Cty .. 0.78%
Rockland Cty .... 0.75%
That would put the likely death rate per infection at over 1%
But the reality is that those tested were showing symptoms so more likely to have the virus than the population in general. That would mean the rate is probably at least double again. We will know more as testing continues in NY but to claim it is as low as .1% is to completely ignore facts.
Lets say everyone in NYC has already gotten Covid-19, and there will be absolutely no new deaths from it. Those are two impossibilities, but it will give us a lower limit for the death rate. That would be 20,887 deaths out of a population of 8,336,817. That gives us a lower bound of 0.25%, not 0.1%.
If only half the people have gotten Covid-19, and only half the deaths have happened, that gives us a 1% mortality rate. The 0.25% is impossibly low, but the 1% is very possible.
Excellent post.
They actually did an exercise very similar to what you are describing, and here's what they found:
An antibody study indicated that approximately 12.5% of the population had been infected, meaning about 1.7 million cases in New York City.
An examination of deaths over baseline estimated that approximately 23,000 deaths had occurred in NYC due to COVID-19 (that's an additional 5,000 deaths).
23000/1.7 million is 1.3% So there you have it.
More than half the Cov dearths have been “fudged “
So, the 215% death rate compared to previous years is somehow just make believe? Now you have shown yourself to be delusional.
Deaths listed below are based actual death certificates sent to CDC and entered into their database.
In the first few months of 2019, NYC averaged about 1,100 deaths per week based on death certificates until mid March when it drops to just over 1,000. The most deaths during a single week of flu season was 1226.
In the first few months of 2020, NYC averaged about 1,100 deaths until March and April when the weekly death count climbed to 7,632 in one week. It was over 2,000 for 6 weeks.
To compare the 2 time periods from the first week of January through the end of April. (This is actual death certificates.)
2019 - 19,284 deaths
2020 - 41,055 deaths
That is 29,024 more deaths in 2020 vs 2019. Most of those deaths occur over a 5 week period from mid March to the end of April
I used the numbers from WorldOMeters for NYC which only counts 20,420 of those deaths as Covid.
Unless you are claiming the numbers were fudged in such a manner that they should be higher than 20,420 you are talking nonsense. If you think the numbers should be less than 20,000, inform us what you think killed all those people for which death certificates exist.
floridafan
Verified User
125,000 people are dead from your "fake" virus.
So your argument is that the death certificates are fake? The caskets were buried with no bodies in them. They parked refrigerator trucks just for the hell of it and they weren't really storing bodies in them because they had no room anywhere else.
You are appearing more and more delusional.
The deaths are real
The cov was not the main cause
It was only secondary
Yes they’re real lol
I like your humor
Truck Fump / h1b
Verified User
There must be some reason that there are more than double the deaths this year in NYC compared to last. We haven't had a flood or hurricane there. No terrorist attack. What exactly are you suggesting is the cause of all those deaths? The number of people with underlying conditions hasn't suddenly doubled this year. So what is the possible reason for the more than doubling in deaths?
Cov is accelerating the deaths of people who are close to death Within 1-3 yrs
So it is causing deaths that wouldn't have happened without it. It seems you want to argue out of both sides of your mouth on this.
This is ageism. Corona is killing the old, the weak and the sick, but also killing young people. It has killed children. Some are getting Kawasaki disease from it. The nurses are not old people and they are dying You slough off people dying because they are older. However plenty of young are dying and suffering too. It is killing older people who were doing fine.