zappasguitar
Well-known member
RCP average Sept. 3 (the day before the convention began): tie.
RCP average today: Obama +2.9.
I wonder how Yurt will spin those numbers.
RCP average Sept. 3 (the day before the convention began): tie.
RCP average today: Obama +2.9.
I wonder how Yurt will spin those numbers.
Obama is polling higher amongst women and moderates, interesting!
Don't Democrats usually poll higher among women? If the numbers said Democrats were pollling higher with men or Republicans were polling higher with women I would consider that eye opening. Democrats polling higher with women is pretty much par for the course.
That's a good point. I've only been following the RCP aggregate polls.It does look like it if you look at pre and post convention polls as opposed to the aggregate of all polls over all time. Poll aggregators are good, but there is reason to favor recent polls over older ones, which aggregators don't do. There's a bounce, and a significant one.
I believe Romney's post convention bounce was around 2%. These national polls don't tell us a lot though. The differences between the two are within the margins of error. What really matters is what has happened in the 7 to 9 swing states. Obama could have a 10 point bounce in California and it's statistically meaningless from an electoral count stand point. Same with Romney, a 10 point bounce in Texas isn't very meaninful. I'd like to see a tracking poll of the swing states where the pollings have been within the margins of error (~ 3%). That would provide the more meaningful data.Obama has a +3 bounce even under the RCP average.
It's getting close to panic time for Romney. Of the seven states with the polling split at less than 3% for the two candidates Obama leads in 5 and is tied in one. Romney leads in North Carolina. Romney would have to win 5 of those seven states, including Florida and Ohio, to win the election. Some significant event or a major screw up by Obama in the debates would probably have to occur for Romney to win now.
RCP average Sept. 3 (the day before the convention began): tie.
RCP average today: Obama +2.9.
There was no bounce. The CNN poll is bogus. Over samples democrats and under samples independents.
BTW in that same CNN poll the libtards are orgasming over, Romney leads with independents by 14%.
So how can Maobama be ahead by 6% when he trails by 14% with independents?
It is impossible unless the sample has been fucked with and it has.
If the poll was done right, Romney is ahead by 8%
If Romney stays ahead with independents by 14%, he wins in a landslide.
Don't take my word for it. Read the internals of the CNN poll yourself.
Demalquedacrats always do thi to themselves. The gin up bogus data then when election time comes around they are surprised at the outcome and scream "FRAUD".
There was no bounce
Well gee, if you HAD the corroboration, then you'd have provided it by now...
Until you do, what you claim is just more unfounded nonsense.
Epic smackdown for you bitch
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/09/10/rel10a.pdf
BOOM!!!!!!
I am smarter than you and don't forget it
More standard Tightie Rightie Bullshit...why am I not surprised?
You proved NOTHING...nothing other than the fact you're just another partisan hack who can't stand that all your histrionics only further cements your standing as one of the board's biggest liars..
You either didn't rea the document or you are so fucking stupid you didnt understand it.
I understand. You do like most libs and cling to these bogus polls. Then on election night you will claim "exit polls show Obama in a landslide". Then you will be in shock and horror when your lie blows up in your pock marked face ad claim the GOP cheated and disenfranchised coloreds.
You can lie to me. You can lie to your gay lover. But it is dangerous for you to lie to yourself.
You asked for a link and I shoved I right up your ass. I had it waiting because you are so fucking predictable.
EPIC FAIL BITCH!!!!!!