ELON: HUMANOID ROBOTS WILL BE THE BIGGEST PRODUCT EVER AND LEAD TO UNIVERSAL HIGH INCOME

[Walt]

Think that's likely to happen in your lifetime?

Robots that can build themselves is already possible. With evolutionary algorithms, they are also programming themselves. In fact, that is becoming the preferred way. Designing themselves is close, but we are not there yet. Repairing is further away.

But yes, it could all happen in your lifetime.

 

[Walt]

Probably not, but who knows? We are in the midst of a technological revolution like the Industrial Age. In the Electronics Age--the Information Age is a misnomer as the information has always been there just not always accessible--the rate of change in technology is accelerated where it's possible that within a few decades that--AI can self-replicate--is possible.

It's like GMO's on an exponential scale where each new generation is merely weeks or months in occurring.

There have been two major revolutions who sped up development: the Neolithic Agricultural Revolution, and the Industrial Revolution. We appear to be on the verge of another one, which some have called the Technological Singularity. A proposed threshold for that is when artificial intelligence surpasses natural intelligence. If speed ups hold, we should have world GDP doubling many times a year. It would be growth we cannot understand today.

In theory, this would all happen very quickly. Predictions when it will happen seem to center around 2045, though there is decades of play in those predictions.

Technological singularity - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Walt]

That's a bit like you diagnosing and performing your own surgery on yourself.

People have performed surgery on themselves.

 

[Into the Night]

It is possible. Self-replicating machines are a possibility. That is, like organic life, they have the capacity to make more of themselves and evolve. There's nothing that prevents machines, given they have the existing programming, from doing this. Once they have such programming, and the means to make more of themselves, they can and that's where they will.

You've been watching the movies too much.

It's no more unrealistic than telling someone in the 18th century that machines could make parts in repetition without human intervention (eg., NC and CNC machines).

I guess you know little of the history of technology as well.

 

[Into the Night]

When I look back at the promise of the internet circa 1995 and then look at what it became I am not filled with the warm fuzzies.

Why? You don't like the ability to use forums like this, buy from dealers around the world at the comfort of your own home, looking up information such as laws and other facts from sources around the world, communicating with people electronically, or transferring your photos to a friend electronically?

The internet is what it is because people wanted it to be what it is. People wrote it, people wired it, and people maintain it. Indeed, entire billion dollar industries were born because of it...lots of it high paying jobs.

Luddite.

 

[Into the Night]

Humans are most certainly NOT better.

Ah. You don't like people. No wonder life sucks for you.

 

[Into the Night]

There have been two major revolutions who sped up development: the Neolithic Agricultural Revolution, and the Industrial Revolution. We appear to be on the verge of another one, which some have called the Technological Singularity. A proposed threshold for that is when artificial intelligence surpasses natural intelligence. If speed ups hold, we should have world GDP doubling many times a year. It would be growth we cannot understand today.

In theory, this would all happen very quickly. Predictions when it will happen seem to center around 2045, though there is decades of play in those predictions.

Technological singularity - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

I guess you don't know the history of technology either.

Well...I'm not surprised. This stuff isn't taught in schools.

 

[Into the Night]

People have performed surgery on themselves.

Cutting your nails doesn't count.

 

[Into the Night]

Robots that can build themselves is already possible.

Nope. No robot builds itself.

With evolutionary algorithms, they are also programming themselves.

Nope. No robot builds itself. A robot is much more than a program.

In fact, that is becoming the preferred way.

Nope. Not possible and it doesn't happen.

Designing themselves is close, but we are not there yet.

Nope. No robot builds itself.

Repairing is further away.

No robot can repair itself against all breakdowns.

But yes, it could all happen in your lifetime.

Nope. You've been watching too many movies.