Liberty
Libertarian Minded
I know a lot of liberals that like Gary Johnsons social ideas.
Gallup Poll, Romney up by 6...
- Thread starter Jarod
- Start date
I know a lot of liberals that like Gary Johnsons social ideas.
SORRY,but now it's 7% that Romney is leading by. Do you see a trend? I do
"Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for?"
The results of the poll show Romney ahead with 52% of the vote to Obama's 45%.
The poll of 2,700 probable voters has seen Romney gradually gain ground since 7th October.He previously led by 6 points
"Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for?"
The results of the poll show Romney ahead with 52% of the vote to Obama's 45%.
The poll of 2,700 probable voters has seen Romney gradually gain ground since 7th October.He previously led by 6 points
Liberty
Libertarian Minded
A truely wasted vote is one that goes to a candidate that works for that voters demise.
If I voted for Romney, it would truely be a waisted vote.
1. Romney isn't going to end the taking of my money to give to others. (income tax)
2. He's not going to stop the genocide we call the war on drugs.
3. He's not even talking about liberty, and freedom being the pathway to opportunity, and prosperity.
Republicans always talk about small gov't, but always accept the big gov't republican presidential candidate. Then they complain. The repubs had a chance to do something 6 years in the Bush administration, but all they did was make gov't bigger, and bigger. Then people got tired of that and made another mistake by electing Mr. Communist, and now here we are. just like always. Having people talk about what they think is a wasted vote.
The worse it gets, the worse we make it. The worse we make it, the worse it gets.
Liberty
Libertarian Minded
Bravo Rana!
canceled.2021.1
#AMERICAISDEAD
Agree 1000%
That would be a nice complement.Maybe he has you on "ignore".
christiefan915
Catalyst
In 2008, Gallup came in 17th in accuracy out of 20 pollsters.
christiefan915
Catalyst
Gallup wasn't reliable in 2008 so why should I think it's different this year?
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)
http://www.fordham.edu/images/acade...ccuracy in the 2008 presidential election.pdf
cawacko
Well-known member
I don't follow which poll is accurate and which poll isn't but even though Rasmussen was most accurate isn't it usually discounted as a right-wing poll?
Just an FYI:
Ranking based on final pre-election polls doesn't tell you a lot about pre-election accuracy and variability. Gallup may nail its final pre-election poll but that doesn't mean its poll three weeks out is good.
Nate Silver has pretty much all you need to know about the Gallup poll here:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-vs-the-world/
yeah because people are idiots.
it's considered right wing because it almost always polls likely voters. which is more accurate and skews conservative in relation to the skewed liberal polls out there. A lot of polls outside of september will poll "american adults" or "registered voters" which gives a biased sample given that large numbers of registered voters (the youth, the working class) tend to vote less than older people and those that have more job security that they are more free to vote on election day.
I did read that article this morning. Its what led me to wonder what others might thing about Gallup.
Rasmussen has the race at a tie currently.
no shit?
6 pts up and tie are a big difference.
Funny, the liberals discount the poll #'s if they are not in Obama's favor.
If you think that the overall upwards movement for Romney in all of these polls doesnt mean anything, well you are in denial. Dont take any one or two polls, but take them and add thel all together and look at the averages. Overall, Romney is climbing. If you want to discount them, go ahead,but thats a mistake. As more details come out on this latest terrorist attack, and the next debate happens, my bet is that Romney still gains a bit more.
Even a statistical tie in the polls on election day does not bode well for the incumbent, especially if they are a Democrat. Maybe us Republicans can hope for rain that day.
If you think that the overall upwards movement for Romney in all of these polls doesnt mean anything, well you are in denial. Dont take any one or two polls, but take them and add thel all together and look at the averages. Overall, Romney is climbing. If you want to discount them, go ahead,but thats a mistake. As more details come out on this latest terrorist attack, and the next debate happens, my bet is that Romney still gains a bit more.
Even a statistical tie in the polls on election day does not bode well for the incumbent, especially if they are a Democrat. Maybe us Republicans can hope for rain that day.
hazlnut
Verified User
On Monday a lot of people are going to back to complaining about 'oversampling'....
canceled.2021.1
#AMERICAISDEAD
Take the bet pussy. Romney loses I get perma banned. Romney wins you get perma banned.
Your opinion don't mean jack shit if you aren't willing to back it up.
Are you going to keep running away?