So, at this point in time, you claim that I am off by 407, on my "prediction" of fatalities in this war? Well, I tell ya what... I don't think I made any prediction, but assuming I did... can you find me a war of 3 years or longer, in the history of the world, where someone predicted a few years out, the final fatalities within 407? Better yet, since this war isn't quite over yet, and just to make it fair, add another 1,000 or so to that, and say 1,500. Has anyone ever predicted, two or three years out, the final fatality rate of a war, within 1,500? Following your "predicted" fatality rates of Vietnam, we should be approaching 10,000 by now. I think my "prediction" is a little more accurate than yours!