I guess much depends on how well the hospitals hold out. Which from what they have been saying, they aren't doing too well right now. The last I heard, they were predicting around 500,000 dead by March. Again, depending on how the hospitals hold out, I'm thinking it could be higher. Because we are going to have to deal with what will probably be a Thanksgiving super spreader event. And with so many people being so stupid about the coronavirus, Christmas will probably be another super spreader event. Neither would I expect an economic shutdown from our lame duck president Trump. I also heard Biden say that he wouldn't impose an economic shutdown. And any vaccine is going to be like the cavalry that arrived too late. Even then from what they said on the news, only about 60% of Americans are even willing to take it. But as the death toll rises, that could change. I hear the Chinese have a curse. To people they don't like, they may say, "May you live in interesting times." Unfortunately, we are living in "interesting" times. And with human caused global warming, mass migrations, an ever increasing overpopulation and all the rest, they are likely to become far more "interesting." But there probably won't be anybody around to look back on them to find them interesting.