Bai Lan
Let It Rot
you know the stock market is fake.There are over 100% tariffs between the world's two largest trading partners, creating a near embargo. It will take a few months to carry through to main street, but this is huge. trump has postponed many other tariffs, but not cancelled them. Postponing in the past has meant trump is just trying to delay them so people get used to them. he might make a deal with China, but that looks extremely iffy, and the deal will be noticeable worse than what we had a few months ago.
Even if trump tries to reset everything to the way it was a few months ago, there will be the uncertainty. That alone will crash the stock market.
I could be wrong, but I believe that the stock market will crash by more than 40% from its high. The high for the S&P 500 is 6,147.43, so I think it will go down to 3688. DO NOT BET YOUR HOUSE ON THIS!!! I have been sure before, and been wrong. I am certainly willing to invest extra money I do not need to survive.
The real question is why isn't the stock market lower right now? That is the question The Economist was asking in their most recent issue. The answer they came by is that the only retail investors are supporting the market right now, and only some of the retail investors. They believe Republicans are letting their belief in trump cloud their investing judgement. I think that is right, but also there is a lot of wishful thinking that we are not destined for very bad things.
One more time, there is a near embargo between the world's two largest trading partners, that is a very bad thing.
it will keep being fake.