I predict that the S&P 500 will be well under 5,000 by September 30th

I cannot think of a worse economic disaster,
I can, and declared it.
so you respond with something you think we will chose that will be a worse economic disaster? Why would we do it if it would be a worse economic disaster than losing most of America's population?
Economy would still run, and so would the rest of the world.
Rejecting fiat currency would be unworkable,
It is quite workable. The beginning stages of it are already happening.
but would not be worse than losing a huge number of people.
Yes it would. You would be locked out of the economy until you switched to the new currency (if you can afford it!).
The people and infrastructure would still exist, even without the fiat currency.
So?
We would just have to figure out a way to pay them all without money.
Best of luck!
There really is not enough gold, or whatever to keep the modern economy working.
There certainly is.
We would have to find another solution, which is not even beginning to come to me.
It just came to you, Wally, but you discarded it.
 
Economy would still run
Let's say we lose 80% of the population in a nuclear war. The complexity of the supply chain to make relatively simply things like gasoline or penicillin would mean they would be nearly impossible to make. The lack of modern medicine, and modern food supplies means we might lose 50% of the remaining people.... Making everything worse.

There would be massive loss of education. Children would be stunted by malnutrition, but also by people not talking to them.
 
YOU MAY ARGUE I AM A GLUTTON FOR PUNISHMENT, but... I have a bid for some SPY 9/18/2026 $545 Puts.
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Basically, I am predicting a 20% drop from current prices by September of next year(right before elections)...
Please give me a "live value" below which you believe S&P 500 will fall by Sept 1 next year.
 
It did sink down once, and I could have walked away with a profit, but I thought there would be a bigger profit.
Even if you do reach the point of making a profit, you will let it ride until you lose what you had.

I can buy more time, it will just cost more money.
You can spend all the money you have buying all the time you wish ... until you are dead or you run out of money..
 
It is literally impossible for me to lose much more money on this investment.

Hey, I am still up for the year, so I am happy. Though just thinking about how much I would have been up had this worked out hurts.
You just said you were down for the year, Wally.

Which is it?

I think you're making the whole thing up, and you can't even keep your lies straight.
 
Let's say we lose 80% of the population in a nuclear war. The complexity of the supply chain to make relatively simply things like gasoline or penicillin would mean they would be nearly impossible to make.
I guess you have no idea how easy it is to make gasoline, Wally. It's even easier to make penicillin.
The lack of modern medicine, and modern food supplies means we might lose 50% of the remaining people.... Making everything worse.
I guess you have no idea how easy it is to raise food either. You've never been on a farm or ranch. You're just a dumb city kid.

Don't worry. If the nuke comes, YOU are in the target area.
 
I guess you have no idea how easy it is to make gasoline, Wally. It's even easier to make penicillin.
People who do not do things sort of assume the things they do not do are easy. It is not easy.

You've never been on a farm or ranch.
I reassure you that making enough food to feed thousands off a farm is not easy. I know you think it is easy, which tells me that you have never been a farmer.
 
I have literally never said that, because I am not down for the year.
Yes you did. DON'T TRY TO DENY YOUR OWN POSTS!
It is easy for me to remember what I have and have not said, because I have said the truth, one which I have lived.
You keep contradicting yourself, Wally.

I don't think you own anything. Not any stock, not any car, not any house, nothing. You're just boasting, wishing to be what you aren't.
 
People who do not do things sort of assume the things they do not do are easy. It is not easy.
it is easy to make gasoline, Wally.
It is even easier to make penicilin.
I reassure you that making enough food to feed thousands off a farm is not easy.
Especially when you don't know how to plant and grow anything, Wally. You're just a stupid city kid that thinks he knows about farming.
I know you think it is easy, which tells me that you have never been a farmer.
Farming is not making gasoline or penicillin, Wally. Farming is hard work. Work that you have no clue about.

What do you suppose will happen to your city life when the food stops arriving, the water supplies stop working, the electrical system stops working, and the trucks stop rolling? Where do you think all that comes from, Wally?

What is targeted by a nuke? Cities.

You are utterly clueless.
 
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