Today intrade has Romney at a 25 to 26% chance at election.
The media wants a horse race and expectations for Romney are very low.
As long as he does not vomit on himself or spaz out, I suspect Romney will be declared the winner of tomorrow nights debate.
If I had an intrade account I would put a lot of money on Romney today... Then sell in a couple of days when he gets his debate bump.
After next week, if the polls dont move, that will be a new level confidence I will have in the President's reelection, but as I just said, I expect Romney to get a bump as long as he is able to keep from shitting himself.
The media wants a horse race and expectations for Romney are very low.
As long as he does not vomit on himself or spaz out, I suspect Romney will be declared the winner of tomorrow nights debate.
If I had an intrade account I would put a lot of money on Romney today... Then sell in a couple of days when he gets his debate bump.
After next week, if the polls dont move, that will be a new level confidence I will have in the President's reelection, but as I just said, I expect Romney to get a bump as long as he is able to keep from shitting himself.