My election prediction

Walt said:
We know that is what you mean. You claim to have "reputable sources" that say that.

What I mean is that you are clearly insane. There is a slight chance that trump could get 51% of the vote, but that is an extreme long shot.

Go ahead, find one of these "reputable sources."


Do "reputable sources" tell you about the Pyramid of Satan?
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this is why you're losing.

Jesus happened to get morality right, but he didn't invent it.

:truestory:
 
Hawkeye10 said:
Those who have been captured by the Death Cult will do as they are told, and there is no reason to doubt that the Regimes election rigging program, which has been perfected over many years, will work again.
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T. A. Gardner said:
More likely, it will be because Biden and Harris are totally incompetent, morons whose policies and actions have pissed off nearly everyone in the US except the radical Left.
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What the fuck has Harris done that's pissin ppl like you off, the bitch ain't the fuckin president, she ain't in office yet and her prior political record is stellar....so why you buggin against her and not that dry rot called MAGA and Trump?
 
Teflon Don said:
Florida? Really? Nobody thinks Florida is in play for the democrats
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Florida is most definitely in play because of the abortion and recreational weed ballot measures, to go along with Conservative fatigue in Florida because all of Desantis' policies failed like all Conservative policies always do.

Also, the split on voters over 65 has evened out. The early vote in Florida is also indicative of a possible Democratic flip. Ballot requests and returns have been more equal than in previous years and that's because of increased Democratic turnout. Remember, Trump won Florida in 2020 by about 3% and that was before Dobbs.

Conservatives have no idea that women are still very pissed off about Dobbs.
 
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gfm7175 said:
The public polls. They're all at least 5 points to the right of where they were at this time of year during the 2020 (s)election cycle.
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NO THEY WEREN'T! And you said the 2020 election was stolen anyway.

And besides, most of the non-Conservative polls show Harris winning comfortably.

So apart from the ridiculous public polling that no one should rely on, what other indicators are there that Trump will win?
 
Lao Tse said:
that's wrong it like . 65.
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Trump will probably top out at around 46-47% with Harris getting over 50% of the vote.

This isn't 2016, it's a post-Dobbs world where women are furious and they're taking that fury out on Republicans electorally. No reason to think that would change this year.

A woman who voted against Conservatives in 2022-3 because of Dobbs is not going to suddenly vote for Trump in 2024...also, women make up a majority of the electorate and it's a large gap, like 53-47 (as it was in PA in 2020).
 
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Damocles said:
The Trumppissed certainly do have a record. (Trumpist or Trumppissed n. 1. Those who are so pissed at Trump they call him a Fascist. 2. Those who hate Trump so much they forget how violent Democrats get during their protests.) There were burning cities, folks throwing rocks at cops, molotov cocktails thrown at cop cars and police stations, etc. when he was elected. You don't like to be reminded of the violence that occurred during those "mostly peaceful" protests, but they certainly did happen.
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Indeed and Harris said that the riots and looting should continue and provided started a fund to bail them out...to riot and loot more.
 
An Orange Cat said:
NO THEY WEREN'T!
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Present tense, not past tense. And yes they are.
An Orange Cat said:
And you said the 2020 election was stolen anyway.
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Indeed. Election fraud is not an election.
An Orange Cat said:
And besides, most of the non-Conservative polls show Harris winning comfortably.
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What are the "Conservative polls" as opposed to the "non-Conservative polls"?? Explain what you mean...

Most "polling" is state-controlled press releases. Nothing more. You will note that such "polling" ALWAYS "overstates" the Democrat candidate and ALWAYS "understates" the Republican candidate. If such "polling" were legitimate polling, then it would naturally "overstate" the Republican candidate as often as it would "overstate" the Democrat candidate, but the "misses" are ALWAYS one way. Why is that?? Because it is NOT polling... it is a state-controlled press release.
An Orange Cat said:
So apart from the ridiculous public polling that no one should rely on, what other indicators are there that Trump will win?
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I already told you. I'll even add another one right here.

Early voting ballot returns. For example, Democrats usually have an advantage in early voting returns (and Republicans play "catch up" on election day). This cycle, however, REPUBLICANS actually have the advantage in early voting returns (and will likely STILL win the election day vote as well). That's very bad news for Harris and very good news for Trump.

Are you now going to ban reference to THAT indicator TOO? :rofl2:
 
gfm7175 said:
Present tense, not past tense. And yes they are.
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You JUST SAID they were skewed by 5%. So that means they're not accurate or reliable.

Public polls don't vote, people do. So apart from public polling what other indicators are there that Trump will win?
 
gfm7175 said:
What are the "Conservative polls" as opposed to the "non-Conservative polls"?? Explain what you mean...
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Who pays for them, of course.

These polls are all commissioned, so who is commissioning them and who do those people work for? Very simple questions.

Conservatives have always flooded the polling with garbage, which is why the polling never ends up accurately predicting the final result.

If you're going to look at any kind of polling to form conclusions, you'd want to look at exit polls. THOSE POLLS aren't in Trump's favor, particularly in FL where you have NPA's breaking for Harris by 18%.
 
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