My election prediction

[An Orange Cat]

I said polling is an indicator. I didn't say that polling was accurate.

These two thoughts contradict each other.

If it's not accurate, it's not an indicator.

 

[gfm7175]

No, the polls are all over the place and they make no sense. That's why I asked for other indicators.

Early voting.

 

[An Orange Cat]

I'm specifically talking about 2020 polling vs 2024 polling. An aggregate shift towards R's matters because polling always purposely misses in favor of Democrats. That's why it's inaccurate and why it is state-controlled propaganda.

Other than the public polling, what other indicators are there? You kinda said something about early voting but you're making an assumption that those early GOP voters are Trump voters.

You are basing your belief that Trump will win that electoral map you posted based on the public polls and early votes cast, but you're ignoring and not taking exit polling into account which is usually the most reliable form of public polling around and finishes telling the story.

Also, why would someone who hasn't voted early in 6 years suddenly do so now?

 

[An Orange Cat]

Early voting.

Again, why would a Trump voter suddenly start voting early when they have discouraged it for 4 years and haven't done it in 6?

 

[An Orange Cat]

Because Trump told them to do so this time around?

Not really. Also, the conflicting direction is leading to confusion. Last year, early voting was voter fraud, this year it's not? How so?

 

[An Orange Cat]

These aren't the actions of someone confident in their path to victory:

 

[Life is Golden]

What riots? What are you even talking about?

Three men connected to 'boogaloo' movement tried to provoke violence at protests, feds say

NBC News reported last weekend that members of the "Boogaloo" movement were seen at protests in states including Minnesota and Texas, as well as in Philadelphia.

www.nbcnews.com

The riots after Trump was elected. That ain't going away as much as you want to wish it away.

 

[gfm7175]

Other than the public polling, what other indicators are there? You kinda said something about early voting but you're making an assumption that those early GOP voters are Trump voters.

You are basing your belief that Trump will win that electoral map you posted based on the public polls and early votes cast, but you're ignoring and not taking exit polling into account which is usually the most reliable form of public polling around and finishes telling the story.

Also, why would someone who hasn't voted early in 6 years suddenly do so now?

RQAA

 

[gfm7175]

Again, why would a Trump voter suddenly start voting early when they have discouraged it for 4 years and haven't done it in 6?

RQAA

 

[gfm7175]

Not really.

Blatant lie.

Also, the conflicting direction is leading to confusion.

The confusion belongs to you and solely to you. It's YOUR issue.

Last year, early voting was voter fraud, this year it's not? How so?

Voter fraud is but a very small part of election fraud (the issue at hand). Early voting is not voter fraud. Early voting does make election fraud easier though, especially when done via mail.

 

[Bigdog]

She had legitimate grievances. Russia did help Trump.



If there was no collusion then how come Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort asked Konstantin Kilimnik to give confidential GOP polling data to Oleg Deripaska beginning April 2016 and extending through the fall of 2016?

Thanks for admitting that Democrats and the Hildebeast still Believe the 2016 election was stolen.

Polling data

 

[Bigdog]

Did democrats try to stop the certification of the vote?

Schiff lied, the FBI lied. They tried to frame Trump and impeached Trump twice.

Then left the capitol unprotected. Pelosi blames herself for that.

And of course, the white libs stormed the White House on May 30, 2020, injuring 60 secret service agents in a failed attempt to assassinate Pres. Trump.

 

[Earl]

Because we have no idea of their political ideology, the riots were not about a political candidate.

You are assuming they even identify with a political party.

Since Heels Up Harris supported the riots and rioters and said that the riots should continue...

I'm growing a bit weary of doing your research for you.

Harris on 2020 protests: "Everyone beware . . . they're not ...​

Facebook · Senator John Kennedy
290+ reactions · 2 months ago





VP Kamala Harris on the 2020 protests: “Everyone beware . . . they're not going to let up, and they should not.” Rioters would go on to ...

 

[An Orange Cat]

Thanks for admitting that Democrats and the Hildebeast still Believe the 2016 election was stolen.

If there was no collusion then how come Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort asked Konstantin Kilimnik to give confidential GOP polling data to Oleg Deripaska beginning April 2016 and extending through the fall of 2016?

 

[christiefan915]

I'm not "pissed off" about Harris. I KNOW, for certain, she will act and rule in office as a Leftist. That will be very bad for the US. It will make people poorer--except for the very rich and powerful. The very rich and powerful in a Harris administration will do quite well, or if she decides to try and confiscate their wealth, they'll leave.

The economy will do poorly under Harris. The open border disaster will continue. Foreign policy will go straight into the toilet. I could see us ending up in a war with China because they invade Taiwan knowing Harris will respond completely ineffectively to it.

There is not one thing to recommend a Harris presidency. She is a mediocre intellect promoted far above her level of competence. She has no values or moral compass. She is in a word, useless.

Trump has plenty of flaws but he's not going to do everything wrong in office, Harris will. She'll make the disaster that was the Biden presidency look good, and Biden was so disastrous that he made the previous gold standard for presidential fuck ups, Carter, look good. I can tolerate four more years of Trump. I doubt most Americans can survive four years of Harris.

^The understatement of the century.

 

[An Orange Cat]

RQAA

You forgot to switch to Into the Night.

 

[An Orange Cat]

RQAA

I think you intended to switch to your other sock for this reply but lost track of which sock you're using because, well, you're a fucking idiot.

 

[Bigdog]

If there was no collusion then how come Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort asked Konstantin Kilimnik to give confidential GOP polling data to Oleg Deripaska beginning April 2016 and extending through the fall of 2016?

Polling data is all you got? Most of us don't believe polls. And What good does that do the Russkies?

How about Hot Mic Obama caught actually colluding with Vlad, and asking it be kept secret from the voters until after the election. Then handing Vlad the Crimea, breaking the Budapest memorandum, and then only offering Ukrainian fighters Blankets to defend their country.

And that Obama war has escalated under your boy Biden.

 

[Lionfish]

 

[An Orange Cat]

Polling data is all you got?

If there was no collusion then how come Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort asked Konstantin Kilimnik to give confidential GOP polling data to Oleg Deripaska beginning April 2016 and extending through the fall of 2016?