If you were smarter, Terry, you'd realize it's not the states but the Electoral Votes that matter.
Trump didn't win 2024 because he had over 77M die-hard MAGAts voting for him simply because there aren't 77M die-hard MAGAts. There's only about 45M Republicans and many of them are very unhappy with the Dementia Don's handling of the economy and his war in Iran.
Over 60M of the 155M voters in 2024 are Independents and they are
very unhappy with your Orange Jesus.
Obviously the 45M Democrats don't like him either.