NRA meltdown has Trump campaign sweating
- Thread starter Guno צְבִי
- Start date
When it comes to guns, no control freak knows any facts. It's all ignorant paranoia and wishful thinking.
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ThatOwlWoman
Leftist Vermin
I wish you would actually read posts before responding with some knee-jerk shit. Seriously. This is the 2nd time today you responded to me as though I was a typical Reichwinger writing some typical RW shit.
gfm7175
Mega MAGA
Love you too!
So?
You're claiming it came from the NRA...
Do they now.
Not one second of it.
Facts are not universal truths.
Fuck you too.
gfm7175
Mega MAGA
They don't lobby for Republicans; They lobby for gun rights.
StoneByStone
It's OK to Be White
They lobby against gun control, which the Republicans are also against.
gfm7175
Mega MAGA
Correct.
Plenty of Republicans are, but plenty of them aren't.
They lobby for gun manufacturers. When they were for gun rights, they backed registration and some regulation. Once they started whoring themselves to large corporations they went far right and pretended guns are beyond regulation. Anything that slows down the sales of weapons is illegal.
gfm7175
Mega MAGA
They are accepting of much more regulations on guns than I am... They are actually quite soft on the issue...
They would be for regulation if there was any evidence that it did any good. The only evidence there is is that regulation only makes things worse. And virtually all regulation infringes on the right of the people to keep and bear arms. The NRA supports the Constitution, which control freaks don't. And registration serves no useful purpose.
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We're as strong as we've ever been. That is good for America.
Into the Night
Verified User
Again, you quote a single individual that knows almost nothing about it as the authoritative source.
You don't get to take guns away. It has nothing to do with the NRA. The federal government does not have authority to change the Constitution, no matter who you vote in to office.
Into the Night
Verified User
You don't get to choose whether people have guns. You are not the king.
Into the Night
Verified User
They happen to be conservative, true. They are hardly that important.
Like your other liberal idiot friends, you don't get anything about the Constitution. You would rather see it destroyed and replaced with fascism by oligarchy.
Terri4Trump
Verified User
Trump 2020 win projected by 3 different models, New York Times op-ed says
The combination of a strong economy and the built-in advantages for an incumbent gives President Trump a "formidable" advantage in his bid for re-election, according to a New York Times op-ed.
Steven Rattner, who served as counselor to the Treasury secretary in the Obama administration and worked on the auto industry bailouts, explained in his piece that three separate projection models currently point to a win for Trump.
One model by Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, projects Trump's 2020 vote share as high as 56 percent given the economic boom, but that does not account for voters' issues with the president's personality.
"As recent polls show, if the election were today, he would lose to most of the Democratic hopefuls by a substantial margin; in the case of Joe Biden, by nearly 8 percentage points," said Rattner. A recent Fox News poll found Democratic presidential frontrunner Joe Biden with a double-digit lead over Trump.
Fair's model -- which pegged Barack Obama's vote shares nearly on the dot -- showed Trump should have received 54 percent of the vote in 2016, but Trump actually got 48.8 percent against Hillary Clinton. "I’m quite confident that the gap was a function of the generally unfavorable rankings on Mr. Trump’s personal qualities," Rattner wrote.
A Monmouth University poll last week showed just 37 percent of voters believe Trump should be re-elected, while 60 percent prefer a new president. Rattner said in addition to Fair, two other projection models give Trump a clear edge.
"Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them. Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics has reached the same conclusion in his examination of the Electoral College," Rattner wrote
SOURCE LINK
The combination of a strong economy and the built-in advantages for an incumbent gives President Trump a "formidable" advantage in his bid for re-election, according to a New York Times op-ed.
Steven Rattner, who served as counselor to the Treasury secretary in the Obama administration and worked on the auto industry bailouts, explained in his piece that three separate projection models currently point to a win for Trump.
One model by Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, projects Trump's 2020 vote share as high as 56 percent given the economic boom, but that does not account for voters' issues with the president's personality.
"As recent polls show, if the election were today, he would lose to most of the Democratic hopefuls by a substantial margin; in the case of Joe Biden, by nearly 8 percentage points," said Rattner. A recent Fox News poll found Democratic presidential frontrunner Joe Biden with a double-digit lead over Trump.
Fair's model -- which pegged Barack Obama's vote shares nearly on the dot -- showed Trump should have received 54 percent of the vote in 2016, but Trump actually got 48.8 percent against Hillary Clinton. "I’m quite confident that the gap was a function of the generally unfavorable rankings on Mr. Trump’s personal qualities," Rattner wrote.
A Monmouth University poll last week showed just 37 percent of voters believe Trump should be re-elected, while 60 percent prefer a new president. Rattner said in addition to Fair, two other projection models give Trump a clear edge.
"Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them. Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics has reached the same conclusion in his examination of the Electoral College," Rattner wrote
SOURCE LINK
Terri4Trump
Verified User
Trump tops $100 million raised for his 2020 re-election campaign
Source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/do...-raised-his-2020-re-election-campaign-n920661
The president has more than $47 million in the bank as a significant show of strength against a possible Democratic opponent.
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CNN poll: 54 percent say Trump will be reelected
Source: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/447137-cnn-poll-54-percent-say-trump-will-be-re-elected
A majority of Americans believe President Trump will be reelected next year, according to a CNN poll released Wednesday. The survey, conducted by SSRS from May 28 to May 31, shows that 54 percent of respondents say Trump will win a second term in office, while 41 percent say he will be defeated in 2020.
The figures are a near reversal from a similar CNN poll conducted in March 2018, when 40 percent of respondents predicted he would be reelected and 54 percent said he wouldn't. The most recent poll shows Trump scoring his highest marks on his handling of the economy, with 52 percent approving and 70 percent saying the economy is in good shape.
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ME: Things are looking great to Keep America Great!!
Terri4Trump
Verified User
Donald Trump will be re-elected: Expert analysts expect president to win second term despite low poll numbers
https://www.oregonlive.com/politics...win-second-term-despite-low-poll-numbers.html
Yale professor Ray Fair’s long-established political model relies on the economy -- specifically the gross domestic product and inflation -- to predict election outcomes. Former Obama Administration official Steven Rattner pointed out this week that, according Fair’s model, “Mr. Trump’s vote share would ordinarily be as high as 56.1 percent. But that’s before factoring in his personality.” Even with Trump’s temperament pulling down his total, he’ll still win, the Yale Model concludes. His vote should end up at about 54 percent. His Democratic opponent is expected to get only 45.4 percent.
American University professor Allan Lichtman, one of the few political prognosticators in 2016 who predicted Trump would win, has come to the same conclusion. He too believes the president will win again next year. His method involves examining 13 determinants ranging from whether there’s a serious third-party candidate to the health of the economy.
“Trump wins again in 2020 unless six of 13 key factors turn against him,” Lichtman told CNN this week. “I have no final verdict yet because much could change during the next year. Currently, the President is down only three keys: Republican losses in the [2018] midterm elections, the lack of a foreign policy success, and the president’s limited appeal to voters.”
Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election for more than three decades, believes impeachment would be another “key” counting against Trump, even though polls indicate the American people don’t want the U.S. House of Representatives to impeach the president.
Then there’s Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. He has run 12 models that look at “economic trends at the state level” to predict the upcoming presidential election. Trump triumphs in all of them.
“If the election were held today,” Zandi said recently, “Trump would win according to the models -- and pretty handily. In three or four of them it would be pretty close. He’s got low gas prices, low unemployment and a lot of other political variables at his back. The only exception is his popularity, which matters a lot. If that falls off a cliff it would make a big difference.”
Another modeler, Trend Macrolytics’ Donald Luskin, also has concluded that President Trump will romp to victory next year.
The hyper-partisan political environment in the U.S. means that most votes are essentially locked in for one candidate or the other regardless of outside factors.
Independents, along with the small number of disaffected Republicans and Democrats, likely will direct the 2020 election result. Incumbency -- that is, simply being a sitting president -- historically has proven a powerful advantage, and the state of the economy often drives voters who are not unswerving partisans.
-- Douglas Perry
