Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
Taxing capital gains more if you have not held them long also encourages more long term investing. As you alluded, investors will go the way of least taxiation.
It encourages them to hold for at least a year.... so in a sense you are correct. However, if the long term cap gains is put back to say 28% cap (where the current short term rate is) then you are going to see even less turnover as people get real skittish when it comes to doing anything that means having to fork over their money to Unlce Sam.