First I admit that there is a lot of time between now and next November.
Several months ago I was fairly pessimistic about President Obama's chances for reelection. It looked pretty bad, public opinion was down and the economy appeared it might be slowing its already slow recovery.
Several factors have changed my view, most notably the insanity that seems to be plaging the Republican Primary. The shooting to the top of various cartoon cheractor type bombastic canidates over Mitt Romney and the far right turn it has caused Romney to take is the greatest cause for the change in my feelings about the Presidents chances. If the Republicans nominate a Newt or a Perry they will be faced with the unplesant reality of a fatally flawed canidate who will easily be dismantled in front of the independent and moderate Republicans. Newt has self destructed almost everything he has been a part of, imagine Newt with the exausted $1,000,000 credit line at Tiffanys trying to preach fiscal responsability. Mitt is not a true Republican and has had the audacity of expressing pro-life opinions in a previous political life. Given this I still doubt the moderate Republicans will be persuaded to vote for President Obama but they might stay home or go for a third canidate. Ron Paul and Donald Trump continue to float the possability of an independent bid for the presidency. Paul is likely to do it if Gingrich is the canidate and Trump if Romney is the canidate. Those who like bombastic PT Barnum type stunts will go for Trump and true honest conservatives will flock to Paul.
It has been said that the President stacked the deck with the spending schedule of the stimulus money and other fiscal policy to really kick in in spring of 12', I am not so idealistic as to belive this is impossable. If that is so, it will give a large boost to an already increasingly improving economy. Moderates and independents will be reminded of the situation of the economy when the President took over, and the mood will be more optomistic about the prospects of the comming mohths. Come next November we may be in a full steam powerfull recovery. (Planned that way or not)
Dont forget that the War in Iraq has been ended, and the blood bath that was Afganistan is calming, OBL is dead, and Al Queda is put down. The "test" that was threatened in the last election of the president's anti-terrorism credentals never happened or was successfully met, depending on your perspective and (hopefully this does not change) the President has kept us safe from major terrorist attacks at home, something the Republicans threatened that he would not be able to do.
Anyone still belive that there is no way President Obama can get reelected? If so, why?
Several months ago I was fairly pessimistic about President Obama's chances for reelection. It looked pretty bad, public opinion was down and the economy appeared it might be slowing its already slow recovery.
Several factors have changed my view, most notably the insanity that seems to be plaging the Republican Primary. The shooting to the top of various cartoon cheractor type bombastic canidates over Mitt Romney and the far right turn it has caused Romney to take is the greatest cause for the change in my feelings about the Presidents chances. If the Republicans nominate a Newt or a Perry they will be faced with the unplesant reality of a fatally flawed canidate who will easily be dismantled in front of the independent and moderate Republicans. Newt has self destructed almost everything he has been a part of, imagine Newt with the exausted $1,000,000 credit line at Tiffanys trying to preach fiscal responsability. Mitt is not a true Republican and has had the audacity of expressing pro-life opinions in a previous political life. Given this I still doubt the moderate Republicans will be persuaded to vote for President Obama but they might stay home or go for a third canidate. Ron Paul and Donald Trump continue to float the possability of an independent bid for the presidency. Paul is likely to do it if Gingrich is the canidate and Trump if Romney is the canidate. Those who like bombastic PT Barnum type stunts will go for Trump and true honest conservatives will flock to Paul.
It has been said that the President stacked the deck with the spending schedule of the stimulus money and other fiscal policy to really kick in in spring of 12', I am not so idealistic as to belive this is impossable. If that is so, it will give a large boost to an already increasingly improving economy. Moderates and independents will be reminded of the situation of the economy when the President took over, and the mood will be more optomistic about the prospects of the comming mohths. Come next November we may be in a full steam powerfull recovery. (Planned that way or not)
Dont forget that the War in Iraq has been ended, and the blood bath that was Afganistan is calming, OBL is dead, and Al Queda is put down. The "test" that was threatened in the last election of the president's anti-terrorism credentals never happened or was successfully met, depending on your perspective and (hopefully this does not change) the President has kept us safe from major terrorist attacks at home, something the Republicans threatened that he would not be able to do.
Anyone still belive that there is no way President Obama can get reelected? If so, why?
