In 2008 Obama won Ohio by 260000 votes.
In 2012, democratic requests for early and absentee ballots are down by 160000 from 2008.
On the flip side, republican requests for early and absentee ballots are up by 100,000.
The math shows a swing roughly the same size of Obamas margin of victory from 2008.
Add to that polling skewed towards Obama and over sampling of Dems and the polls are likely off a tad.
Lastly, undecideds and independents as usual break away from the incumbent.
For all these reasons, Romney should feel good about his chances in Ohio
In 2012, democratic requests for early and absentee ballots are down by 160000 from 2008.
On the flip side, republican requests for early and absentee ballots are up by 100,000.
The math shows a swing roughly the same size of Obamas margin of victory from 2008.
Add to that polling skewed towards Obama and over sampling of Dems and the polls are likely off a tad.
Lastly, undecideds and independents as usual break away from the incumbent.
For all these reasons, Romney should feel good about his chances in Ohio
