For one, I sure ain't pissing and moaning, as you may think.
Secondly, I still don't think he is actually going to win. His success is his effectiveness at getting recognized even when he is doomed for failure, and showing that a change is possible. He's gotten over one major hurdle that Libertarians tend to have a problem with, and that is raising money. He isn't the most effective, polished politician, so there is no way he will win. He's a success, relatively speaking, because we have not had someone like him get anywhere near the kind of support he's getting. So quit acting like you are teaching me something.
Lastly, I said 'Democrats who have switched over', meaning they will be able to vote in Republican primaries. Seeing how spirited Ron Paul supporters are of his candidacy alone should tell you that the 5% in the polls well end up being more in the primaries, because they WILL go vote. All those young people supporting the guy don't get represented in the polls because history has said that young people aren't a reliable base. Poll takers have a formula, and that formula takes into account that young people tend to be lazy and don't go vote on election day. This group of young people supporting him doesn't seem to be as lazy as history says they are. I'll restate what I said, he won't get just 5%.