Texas is now a toss up state

floridafan said:
As the 2020 presidential election draws to a close, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has a real chance to turn Texas blue.

The Cook Political Report, one of America’s top elections forecasters, has switched its rating of Texas from “lean Republican” to “toss-up” state with less than one week to go before voting ends.

Cook analyst Amy Walter writes that the movement toward Biden in Texas has been significant enough that it can no longer be considered a safe state for President Donald Trump

“Texas is a state that Biden doesn’t need to win, but it is clear that it’s more competitive than ever,” she writes. “Recent polling in the state — both public and private – shows a 2-4 point race. That’s pretty much in line with the hotly contested 2018 Senate race in the state where Sen. Ted Cruz narrowly defeated Rep. Beto O’Rourke 51 percent to 48 percent.”

Adding to the Trump campaign’s potential anxiety about Texas has been a turnout surge thanks to early and mail-in voting, Walter writes.

“A huge surge in early vote (as of October 26th, almost half of Texas’ registered voters had already cast a ballot) suggests that we could see record turnout in a state that has added many new residents since 2016,” she writes. “That also adds a level of uncertainty to the equation.”

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/...0-widens-trumps-path-narrows-texas-moves-toss
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I am still very skeptical of this.
 
gfm7175 said:
You're going to be damn disappointed in less than a week... And then you're going to be too stupid to realize that the media has purposely misled you into believing the "massive youth vote" lie, so you are going to blame "Republicans" for "cheating" and "voter suppression" rather than realizing that the media has completely duped you because you are completely illiterate in mathematics and are simply taking the media's word for it because you are unwilling to learn mathematics and learn how to properly analyze such early voting data...
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You still haven't shared your data. Texas has already shared information showing the astronomical number of 18-29 year olds who voted early.

Ask me how I know this...
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Hmmm...I thought 'don't doubt me' was your go to line?
 
Althea said:
You still haven't shared your data. Texas has already shared information showing the astronomical number of 18-29 year olds who voted early.

Hmmm...I thought 'don't doubt me' was your go to line?
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And, like I said in numerous threads, and I even created a stand-alone thread about this, that information is only comparing the NUMERATOR ("astronomical number") against the prior cycle's NUMERATOR (a much lower number)... It is IGNORING the DENOMINATOR of both numbers... But if it makes you feel better, keep on believing the line of BS that you are being spoonfed... Next week, you'll see that it was all just a line of bullshit...
 
Althea said:
Are you going to share them to back up your claims about 'misleading' data, or are we supposed to take your word for it?
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I've already explained in this thread and numerous others why this particular headline is not only misleading but also completely inaccurate...
 
Phantasmal said:
I am still very skeptical of this.
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In all seriousness, this is the smartest post that I have ever seen you make on this forum... although you unfortunately have absolutely no clue as to the reason why you should completely dismiss on it's face what floridafan said...
 
gfm7175 said:
In all seriousness, this is the smartest post that I have ever seen you make on this forum... although you unfortunately have absolutely no clue as to the reason why you should completely dismiss on it's face what floridafan said...
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Blow it out thy wazoo.
 
gfm7175 said:
And, like I said in numerous threads, and I even created a stand-alone thread about this, that information is only comparing the NUMERATOR ("astronomical number") against the prior cycle's NUMERATOR (a much lower number)... It is IGNORING the DENOMINATOR of both numbers... But if it makes you feel better, keep on believing the line of BS that you are being spoonfed... Next week, you'll see that it was all just a line of bullshit...
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LOL. Keep twisting yourself into knots. You think these are trump voters?
 
gfm7175 said:
I've already explained in this thread and numerous others why this particular headline is not only misleading but also completely inaccurate...
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Kids are either voting, or they aren't. Spin it any way you wish, but rest assured...

SAY IT WITH ME

"It won't age well"
 
Althea said:
LOL. Keep twisting yourself into knots. You think these are trump voters?
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Plenty of them are, yes... but more of them will vote for Biden than for Trump...

Thankfully, their share of the electorate is DOWN this cycle, despite the media feeding incomplete information to people. You are now choosing to outright deny mathematics and proper data analysis in favor of holding onto your fervent misguided belief that the youth vote is WAYYYYY up in Texas (and elsewhere)...

I can only lead a horse to water... I cannot force it to drink the water...
 
Phantasmal said:
I am still very skeptical of this.
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It's close. The whole Left/Right, Democrat/Republican core disagreement seems to boil down to Urban/Rural. People who live in high density areas (i.e. cities) are primarily Left/Democrat/Urban. Suburbians are somewhat in the middle, but lean right while people in the lowed density populations are Right/Republican/Rural. If all that's true, then Texas turning blue is a foregone conclusion as it's major cities grow.

Around 2000 I was working with the Feds on Bush International safety projects anticipating major growth as the North-South international gateway grew. At the time Houston was among the fastest growing cities in the US. As cities grow, they turn blue. As a state's ratio of Urban/Rural shifts from Rural to Urban, the state turns blue.

Idiots on this forum see the solution as "Treat them like enemies! Make them bend the knee! Kill all who don't!" because they've only seen the world through their TV and computer screens such as GOT. My solution is to infect them with logic and agree we are a symbiotic body that will die if we can't get along.
 
Texas is about to become a TOSS OUT state.

We are voting now to TOSS Cornyn OUT of the SENATE.

In 2022 we intend to toss out our TRUMP HUMPIN' sorry excuse of a GOVERNOR- AND TED CRUZ!
 
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