The War in Ukraine

"Its very difficult to be optimistic about Europe at this time. Perhaps the best that can be said is that the situation is so bad that we can't be so far now from the point that things hit bottom. And at that point who knows...maybe they will start getting better.....though I would not put any money on it"

Alexander on his briefing today.
 
It looks like the Russians have started to assassinate AFU leadership, after so many Russian Generals have been killed that way, and after the Imperial Empire did the same to so many Iranian Generals.

The reason that in history so little of this has happened is because almost always everyone was smart enough to understand "If we do that to them then they will do it to us....lets skip it"

But this dark age is profound.
 
Just finished reading an article published yesterday by Simplicius whose main topic is the Ukraine war, thought it was quite good. It can be seen here:
simplicius76.substack.com

Trump's Weapons Magic Show is Smoke & Mirrors Masterclass

Trump finally ‘wowed’ the world today with his grand announcement on punitive measures against Russia.
simplicius76.substack.com simplicius76.substack.com

I think the following line in the article is quite good:
**
When asked what would happen after the 50 day mark if Putin refuses to back down, Trump told a reporter: “Don’t ask me that question.”
**

Simplicius' followup to that was interesting:
**
The bigger debate is whether Trump has now officially taken ownership of the war, despite his feeble attempts to impute his continued failings to Biden; many think so. But I still suspect Trump is trying his hardest to playact the stern and impatient taskmaster to signal ‘toughness’ against Putin for his deep state audience, all while actually trying to mitigate damage to US-Russian relations.

For instance, ‘senior officials’ told FT just two days ago that Trump still views Zelensky as the primary obstacle to peace:
www.rt.com

Trump sees Zelensky as ‘primary obstacle’ to Ukraine peace – FT

The US president still regards Russia’s Vladimir Putin as the “main negotiating partner,” the report claims
www.rt.com www.rt.com

That would likely make his ‘anger’ at Putin a put-on.
**

I don't know whether Simplicius is right that Trump's alleged anger at Putin is likely a put-on, but I do believe that Trump at least has the wisdom to avoid escalating things much with Russia. Earlier this year, I predicted that the war in Ukraine would probably end this year. I'm no longer so sure about that, but even if it doesn't end this year, I doubt it'll continue for much time beyond it.
 
Well, whatever Putin wanted in Ukraine, he gonna be getting the opposite real shortly.
Trump tried to not embarass him, but the motherfucker needs needs a bitchsmack into reality.
And he is going to get it.
Why does my left titty hurt? Oh. Yeah, I did a lot of things yesterday. One was swinging a pitbull locked onto a stick around like the rockets on top of Space Mountain yesterday. The up and down stuff was just trying to keep it real. We had fun! :woot:
That dog more than 80 lbs. I gotta talk to her owner. I've known blue dog owners for decades, that ain't no purebred blue.
A female like that should be around 50 lbs. That one mixed with a brindle. Beautiful dog. OMG.
Here's to miscegeny!
Outbreeding is good!
 
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Scott said:
Just finished reading an article published yesterday by Simplicius whose main topic is the Ukraine war, thought it was quite good. It can be seen here:
simplicius76.substack.com

Trump's Weapons Magic Show is Smoke & Mirrors Masterclass

Trump finally ‘wowed’ the world today with his grand announcement on punitive measures against Russia.
simplicius76.substack.com simplicius76.substack.com

I think the following line in the article is quite good:
**
When asked what would happen after the 50 day mark if Putin refuses to back down, Trump told a reporter: “Don’t ask me that question.”
**

Simplicius' followup to that was interesting:
**
The bigger debate is whether Trump has now officially taken ownership of the war, despite his feeble attempts to impute his continued failings to Biden; many think so. But I still suspect Trump is trying his hardest to playact the stern and impatient taskmaster to signal ‘toughness’ against Putin for his deep state audience, all while actually trying to mitigate damage to US-Russian relations.

For instance, ‘senior officials’ told FT just two days ago that Trump still views Zelensky as the primary obstacle to peace:
www.rt.com

Trump sees Zelensky as ‘primary obstacle’ to Ukraine peace – FT

The US president still regards Russia’s Vladimir Putin as the “main negotiating partner,” the report claims
www.rt.com www.rt.com

That would likely make his ‘anger’ at Putin a put-on.
**

I don't know whether Simplicius is right that Trump's alleged anger at Putin is likely a put-on, but I do believe that Trump at least has the wisdom to avoid escalating things much with Russia. Earlier this year, I predicted that the war in Ukraine would probably end this year. I'm no longer so sure about that, but even if it doesn't end this year, I doubt it'll continue for much time beyond it.
Click to expand...
President Two Weeks gives everyone but his master Putin two weeks. Putin gets 50 days. Surprised? LOL

No doubt Trump will move on to another distraction by September.
 
Dutch Uncle said:
President Two Weeks gives everyone but his master Putin two weeks. Putin gets 50 days. Surprised? LOL

No doubt Trump will move on to another distraction by September.
Click to expand...
Giving Putin 50 days is the same as not doing anything at all about Putin, because we know Trump changes his mind hourly, let alone over 50 days.
 
Dutch Uncle said:
President Two Weeks gives everyone but his master Putin two weeks. Putin gets 50 days. Surprised? LOL

No doubt Trump will move on to another distraction by September.
Click to expand...

Oh, he's given his peace overtures to solve the Ukraine war 2 weeks in the past, but it's never worked out. This time, I think he may be taking his cue from Putin himself. Simplicius gets into it in the introduction to his article. I'll highlight the punchline:
**
Trump finally ‘wowed’ the world today with his grand announcement on punitive measures against Russia.

As usual, the announcement struck a dull and lackluster chord for most, with Russian markets jubilantly jumping by nearly 3% in response. But let’s dig in to see whether there is actually more meat on the bone of Trump’s scary threats than people give credit for.

Firstly, the timing: Axios now reports that Putin allegedly told Trump he plans to ‘intensify’ the Russian summer offensive in the next 60 days, with the goal—according to some sources—purportedly being to capture the remainder of nominal Russian territory, i.e. Donetsk, Lugansk, and Zaporozhye oblasts.

If there’s any hint of truth to such reports, then Trump’s “50-day notice” would seem to line up with Putin’s timeline, given that the conversation happened days ago, and thus Putin’s “60-day plan” would fall almost precisely on Trump’s deadline.
**

Source:
simplicius76.substack.com

Trump's Weapons Magic Show is Smoke & Mirrors Masterclass

Trump finally ‘wowed’ the world today with his grand announcement on punitive measures against Russia.
simplicius76.substack.com simplicius76.substack.com

I think this is actually a good thing. As I mentioned in my previous post, it appears that Trump really thinks that Zelensky is the obstacle to a peace deal and in that, I completely agree. Perhaps by early September, after Russia continues to grind Ukraine's army down, Russia will have taken most of what they've already staked a claim on by force and Zelensky will be more amenable to a peace that Russia can agree to.
 
Cypress said:
Giving Putin 50 days is the same as not doing anything at all about Putin, because we know Trump changes his mind hourly, let alone over 50 days.
Click to expand...

Oh come now, Trump is letting Europe buy American weapons to continue the 'good fight' in Ukraine. At least Trump has the sense not to put any more American dollars into what's clearly a losing battle and in 50 days time, Russia may have acquired most of the remaining territory in the regions its already claimed and Zelensky may be more amenable to a peace deal as well.
 
Cypress said:
Giving Putin 50 days is the same as not doing anything at all about Putin, because we know Trump changes his mind hourly, let alone over 50 days.
Click to expand...
Agreed. The oddity is that he’s giving Putin so long to have a cease fire. Is it because winter is coming to Ukraine and Russia’s summer offensive will be over by then thus giving Putin an excuse to say “ceasefire” while he rearms and retrains over the winter and giving Trump the appearance of a win?

Is this Trump’s last chance for that elusive Peace Prize?
 
Scott said:
Oh come now, Trump is letting Europe buy American weapons to continue the 'good fight' in Ukraine. At least Trump has the sense not to put any more American dollars into what's clearly a losing battle and in 50 days time, Russia may have acquired most of the remaining territory in the regions its already claimed and Zelensky may be more amenable to a peace deal as well.
Click to expand...
Your own article says the 50 day delay is to allow Putin to capture as much territory as he can "before the hammer comes down", and that even then Trump will not directly give any American aid to Ukraine.
 
Cypress said:
Your own article says the 50 day delay is to allow Putin to capture as much territory as he can "before the hammer comes down", and that even then Trump will not directly give any American aid to Ukraine.
Click to expand...
No matter how much Putin insults Felonious, Felonious can’t quit him!
 
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