To spur job creation, bring on supply-side economics

The '70's and stagflation did not show Keynesian worked. In fact it made the Keynesians question their economic beliefs.
Except for the fact that the Nixon era of stagflation weren't a result of Keynesian economic policies but where a result of "Nixon Shock". Nixons miquiged attempts at wage and price controls, his foreign policy (The Arab Oil embargo) and his unilaterally canceling the direct convertibility of the United States dollar to gold were all three the causes of the 1970's era of stagflation and not Keynesian economic policies.
 
Except for the fact that the Nixon era of stagflation weren't a result of Keynesian economic policies but where a result of "Nixon Shock". Nixons miquiged attempts at wage and price controls, his foreign policy (The Arab Oil embargo) and his unilaterally canceling the direct convertibility of the United States dollar to gold were all three the causes of the 1970's era of stagflation and not Keynesian economic policies.

That is a fascinating revisionist version of history and reality.

"We are all Keynesians now" is a famous phrase coined by Milton Friedman and attributed to U.S. president Richard Nixon. It is popularly associated with the reluctant embrace in a time of financial crisis of Keynesian economics by individuals such as Nixon who had formerly favored less interventionist policies.
 
Like hell there isn't. Great Britain and Sweden had ended the depression in their nations prior to WWII and the US would have ended it sooner had FDR embraced full implementation of Keynesian economics sooner. Than you're convienantly failing to mention how both Ike, via his infrastructure program had implemented, effectively, Keynesian theory and that Nixon had famously quipped "We're all Keynesian" when asked about economic policy. The evidence and facts about both economic systems are there. If you fail to see it, that's your problem. The facts are, The Keynesian model works. Supply-Side theory had never proven what it claims.

Amazing; later in the thread you claim Nixon wasn't a Keynesian. But alas, Nixon did not make that comment, Milton Freidman did attributing it to the misguided policies Nixon began pursing.

What we are seeing here is a very confused and contorted effort by you to defend Keynesian theory while putting down a President who implemented them thus creating inflation and slow economic growth.

The Keynesian models do not work and haven't been taught as a real economic principle since I attended college in the 80's. That might be changing, but back in my college days it was merely talked about as a theory that proved to be wrong.

If Keynes were right, Japan would be a veritable economic paradise. If Keynes were right, Venezuela would not be an economic basket case. It is so simple and delightful to believe that Governments can just PRINT themselves out of recessions. But it cannot as has been proven countless times throughout history; particularly in South America and African dictatorships.
 
Even if this were true, it's not a model we can repeat unless you want to draft 20 million troops and start WWIII. Then, we could take advantage of the wrecked European and Asian economics for 15 years.

People who are paid like you are worth what you are worth.
You could find better reasons than WWIII to spend money.
 
The recession under Reagan was an entirely different sort of economic phenomena. There was a huge amount of inflation at the time, and the federal reserve decided to raise rates as high as needed to conquer it. This naturally lead to a large amount of unemployment. When inflation started finally going down, the federal reserve let off the extremely high interest rates, unemployment predictably went back down as well. Whatever effect Reagan's economic policies had, they were largely secondary. It was primarily a monetary phenomena, not a fiscal one.

Yes, most recessions are the result of monetary and Government policies that interrupt the economic cycles in a negative way due to unintended circumstances as a result poor monetary decisions and poorly thought out legislation. The housing market collapse is evidence of both.

No one is ascribing the economic recovery to Reagan other than acknowledging the fact that he understood that reducing the scope and command of Government on individuals and the economy was a good idea. Reagan could not implement his economic agenda as he had a hostile Democratic House his entire Presidency which announced his budgets DOA every year.

Would you rather have the economy controlled by supply and demand and millions of personal interactions by people spending their own money; or have confiscatory tax policies that argue that only Government knows what is best for its citizens and can create demand at will?

I can't understand this right wing obsession with tax cuts as a panacea for all economic ills.

This is a strawman; the right wing is not obsessed with tax cuts as being a panacea for economic ills. They correctly comprehend that more money in the hands of those who EARNED it is a better idea than allowing a bunch of corrupt politicians buy the votes of low information twits who think they are entitled to others wealth.

I can’t understand the left wings obsession with the idea of tax increases being the panacea for economic ills and their Marxist like rhetoric about income inequality. Perhaps you can better explain it?

The government may not be the people, but neither is it a black hole, taxes aren't subtracted from GDP. I've never seen a convincing and clear correlation between tax rates and economic growth.

There is no clear correlation between tax rates and economic growth; but what we do know is that if people keep more of what they earn, they tend to spend and invest it and this is a good thing.

We also know that Government is indeed a necessary evil that a wary and educated society need to keep in check to ensure our liberty and freedoms.

What conservatives will do is cherry pick the data, "Oh, things were good for a few years under Reagan", "Oh, North Dakota's doing good currently, it must be their tax policy". Guess what, I can pick a few years in a few places that were great in high tax places as well. Norway has a spectacular economy right now, I'm sure it's all due to their 55% marginal income tax rate and 25% GDP (more than double the Obamunists current tax rate as a % of GDP), it probably has no more to do with any oil boom than North Dakota's case does.

The only one’s cherry picking the data are Liberals who want to defend this Imperial Presidency and its desire to spend trillions more it does not have on emotional drivel that does nothing to increase prosperity or reduce poverty.

This is not an enlightening intellectual exercise. No country has ever tax-cut itself out of poverty, indeed, almost all of the countries that have raised themselves from poverty in the past hundred years had very large, invasive government.

This is false; no nation ever taxed its way into prosperity. Please illustrate what nations raised themselves from poverty with massive invasive Government. China is a great example of invasive Government; how is that working for the Chinese whose average worker has a low life expectancy, suffers from massive pollution and whose GNI is a trivial $4,940?

How is it working for Venezuela, or for Cuba? How is it working in the EU which is suffering from stagnant economic growth and double digit unemployment?

But 50 years of incredible growth in South Korea apparently mean nothing. The right would rather exaggerate the mediocre and short lived economic performance in Pinochet's Chile instead. Anytime you get a smidgen of growth in a low tax regime, it will be praised to high heaven, anytime you get the same growth in a high-tax one, it's all "fake", as if Adam's Smith invisible hand is eventually going to come down and punish these disrespectful people who dare grow without his approval. Yet, these economies keep keep on with their fake growth, year to year, the Hunanese peasant has discovered that fake food fills the stomach, and is so heedless to the condemnation of foreign conservatives that he be eating it.

How is South Korea a high tax country?

The South Korean Corporate Tax Rate in South Korea stands at 24.20 percent. The US is 35%.
TAXABLE INCOME, KRW (US$) TAX RATE
Up to 12 million (US$10,321) 6%
12 million – 46 million (US$43,396) 15% on band over US$10,321
46 million – 88 million (US$83,019) 24% on band over US$43,396
88 million – 300 million (US$283,019) 35% on band over US$83,019
Over 300 million (US$283,019) 38% on all income over US$283,019

US tax rates
Up to $8.9K – 10%
8.9 to 36.25K – 15%
36.25 to 87.86K – 25%
87.86 to 183.25K – 28%
183.25K to 398.35 – 33%
398.35 to 400K – 35%
Above 400K – 39.5%

I would argue that the South Korean rates are lower.

In reality, all lowering tax rates by eliminating transfer policies does is to shift consumption patterns. Before, more of the economy was focused on producing things rich people like, now it's less so. It has pretty much zero net economic effect.

This is hyperbole with nothing to support it. Lowering tax rates does not shift consumption patterns. But intrusive Government policies based on an abomination like the tax code does; and many times with very negative effects as we have seen over the last five years of malaise.

Lowering it by reducing infrastructure and other investments has a definite net negative effect.

I am amused by the FALSE argument that lowering tax rates has a corresponding decrease in infrastructure outlays. How is this possible?

The only place where it could unambiguously help would be with the military - shifting consumption to military matters is not an economic black hole either, but it's not a sector with in built long term ability to innovate and produce economic growth itself, and is only justified if foreign threats are large. But this is apparently the one thing we should keep, we should drop transfer payments with zero net effect, reduce infrastructure and investment in our future, and increase our dedication to an economically stagnant area.

I have no idea what the above means or what you are trying to say; but it looks like a bunch of confused gobbledygook.

The bottom line to your commentary is that you have done an outstanding job of avoiding the topic and ignoring the editorial source on supply side economics.
 
Deficits have dropped fairly dramatically since 2008.

Thanks to a 2009 midterm election that put Republicans in charge of the purse strings in the House. Otherwise, Democrats would have continued spending us into oblivion with more unfunded stimulus spending disguised as “jobs bills.”

As it was, a good bit was due to drops in tax revenue,

But tax rates were increased; how can that be?? And how do deficits drop if tax revenue decreases?

since 2010 there's been nothing in the way of extraordinary stimulus programs and mostly cuts to regular spending levels.

Thanks to a 2009 midterm election that put Republicans in charge of the purse strings in the House. Otherwise, Democrats would have continued spending us into oblivion with more unfunded stimulus spending disguised as “jobs bills.”

Most would say our stimulus was never large enough anyway, China had a stimulus 2-3 times as large as a % of their GDP.

Only dimwitted fools like Obummer and Krugman make such idiotic claims.

China had a stimulus 2-3 times as large as a % of their GDP.

Yes indeed; China is a shining example of economic prosperity and freedom isn’t it?

:whacko:
 
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From 1932 to 1937, unemployment dropped by about 2/3 during the FDR administration. 1937 is the year FDR decided to balance the budget. The US joined the war in December 1941, which is what is probably represented by the unemployment rate suddenly dropping to nearly 0% at the tail end there. That's only the final 6 months in the graph, though, it's clear he had it to full unemployment before December 1941.

1933 saw the implementation of the New Deal. Unemployment stayed above 10%. Then the nation fell back into recession in 1937.

Government spending increased from 8.0% of gross national product (GNP) under Hoover in 1932 to 10.2% of the GNP in 1936. The national debt as a percentage of the GNP had more than doubled under Hoover from 16% to 40% of the GNP in early 1933. It held steady at close to 40% as late as fall 1941, then grew rapidly during the war.

Yet unemployment stayed high until we entered WWII and started gearing up for war.

Sorry, but your premise is a fail if it supports Keynesian theory.
 
A yes simple slogans for simple minds that are simply wrong.

You mean slogans like “hope and change?”

Supply Side economics, as currently applied by the GOP, is a net zero gain. More after tax income for the top marginal tax payers and less federal revenue.

I am amused by this false claim; why do Liberals always falsely argue that the tax cuts only applied to the wealthy? Do you have any factual data to support this false leftist meme?

Supply-side economic driven cuts to marginal tax rates have never proven to increase federal revenues by creating broad based prosperity. In fact they've never proven to create broad based prosperity.

This is a false statement; after EVERY tax cut, there was a subsequent INCREASE in revenues. I find it incredible that Liberals cannot get their heads around what causes Government revenue to increase. Let me help you with this; A GROWING ECONOMY.

The reality is the Keynesian economic model, the model that saved capitalism,

This is a lie. Please support it with something more than hyperbole.

is a proven economic system that has worked for well over 70 years. That's a fact.

That is a lie. I studied economics in the University and it was only taught as what economists USED to believe as informational.

It is a system that when implemented led to nothing more than massive deficits, stagflation and malaise.

Supply-side economics, cute slogans and all, has never demonstrated the improvements it's supporters claim and has never demonstrated it works. That's a fact too.

Apparently you are not a fan of history and didn’t read the article I posted at the beginning of the thread. You’re determined to parrot stupid talking points because it makes you feel all warm and fuzzy inside; much like the “simple” Democratic slogans that led you to vote for the most inept inexperienced, economically clueless, arrogant and divisive President in our history.

After five years of malaise, you still think that an unfunded trillion dollar stimulus did anything BUT massively increase our debt level and trillion dollar deficits.
 
Wacko! No kidding we have massive deficits. The vast majority of those deficits occurred as a direct response to Supply-Side policies under GOP administrations that has, as I've pointed out, created serious structural deficits that have been exaserbated by recession in which demand was substantially curtailed and congressional Republicans touting supply-side theory have obstructed the level of stimulus spending and tax increases necessary to deal with the structural deficits and contraction in demand that the GOP's supply-side policies have created.

This is a massive lie. Please identify these “supply side” policies that led to the massive collapse of the mortgage markets and the subsequent collapse of financial markets.

That's where we're currently at with the Keynesian model.

Wrong; we are currently running with Keynesian models because we have morons in charge of the Government and a large number of low information voters who elected the fools.
 
Except for the fact that the Nixon era of stagflation weren't a result of Keynesian economic policies but where a result of "Nixon Shock". Nixons miquiged attempts at wage and price controls, his foreign policy (The Arab Oil embargo) and his unilaterally canceling the direct convertibility of the United States dollar to gold were all three the causes of the 1970's era of stagflation and not Keynesian economic policies.

If devaluing out currency was a cause of stagflation should we expect to see any signs of it today as we are doing the same?
 
Still none of that data Mutt? No examples? You said supply side tanked our economy and cost jobs... yet you can't show us the data?
 
Possibly. If other economic shocks were to occur simulatenously.

Japan is taking a Keynesian on steroids approach with their current economic policy and they are devaluing their currency. Does that mean it cannot work because Keynesian can't go with currency devaluation as you said?
 
Japan is taking a Keynesian on steroids approach with their current economic policy and they are devaluing their currency. Does that mean it cannot work because Keynesian can't go with currency devaluation as you said?

Bump for Mott and Rana, Top & Zappa since they all liked Mott's previous post. I am curious to hear your opinion here.
 
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