trump Crashes the Market

Superfreak said:
those are old. The 10yr Treasury yield was about 3.2% in October. It fell to about 2.7 right now. The mortgage rates are based off of the 10yr.

That said, a lot of that is simply flight to quality we saw as world equity markets fell. Given our yields are substantially higher than that of Europe, the money went into our bonds.
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How is a January 4th 2019 article old? Does that mean we are heading into a recession? That is Kacper's argument.
 
Truth Detector said:
Rates fell in June too. They fell in April of 2017 as well. Gas prices have been going up.

January 2016 the price of oil had cratered to 35.77 a barrel. Did we have a recession? Would the economy do better if the price went back over $100 a barrel?
https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart
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"Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal see a growing risk of recession in the U.S.

Though few could identify a specific trigger—such as the business investment crunch that drove the economy down in 2001 or the housing crisis that caused a recession in 2007—economists pointed to a number of worries, including trade tensions with China, rising interest rates and a sharp stock market selloff last year.

On average, economists surveyed in the past week as part of The Wall Street Journal’s monthly poll said there was a 25% chance of a recession in the next year, the highest level since October 2011. The probability was just 13% a year ago."



https://www.wsj.com/articles/economists-see-u-s-recession-risk-rising-11547132401



Tick Tock Tick Tock
 
Kacper said:
"Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal see a growing risk of recession in the U.S.

Though few could identify a specific trigger—such as the business investment crunch that drove the economy down in 2001 or the housing crisis that caused a recession in 2007—economists pointed to a number of worries, including trade tensions with China, rising interest rates and a sharp stock market selloff last year.

On average, economists surveyed in the past week as part of The Wall Street Journal’s monthly poll said there was a 25% chance of a recession in the next year, the highest level since October 2011. The probability was just 13% a year ago."

https://www.wsj.com/articles/economists-see-u-s-recession-risk-rising-11547132401

Tick Tock Tick Tock
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I want to extract a few key points for you:

see a growing risk of recession
AND
Though few could identify a specific trigger
 
Truth Detector said:
I want to extract a few key points for you:

see a growing risk of recession
AND
Though few could identify a specific trigger
Click to expand...

An inverted yield curve is the most reliable predictor of a recession out there and we have one. Believe what you want to believe. I really don't care. If you, however, could be adversely affected by a recession and are not preparing for that recession, God help you because the government won't.
 
Superfreak said:
those are old. The 10yr Treasury yield was about 3.2% in October. It fell to about 2.7 right now. The mortgage rates are based off of the 10yr.

That said, a lot of that is simply flight to quality we saw as world equity markets fell. Given our yields are substantially higher than that of Europe, the money went into our bonds.
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I should have invested in bonds then. I took a shellacking.
 
Kacper said:
An inverted yield curve is the most reliable predictor of a recession out there and we have one. Believe what you want to believe. I really don't care. If you, however, could be adversely affected by a recession and are not preparing for that recession, God help you because the government won't.
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I am able to weather any recession quite well; as I have done for the last four decades. They come and they go. What I don't understand is when people who are enjoying this newfound economic prosperity wish it gone so soon and want to predict the end is near when it has only begun.

Now, if Democrats controlled the House, the Senate and the White House, I would be worried. For right now, the only place where we should be fretting are the sheeple in California.
 
Mott the Hoople said:
The market did real well in his first year but man did it stink this last year. I took a pretty big hit myself. It was almost as bad as the hit I took in 2008 during the Bush recession.
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How so? GDP is double what it was during Obamunism. Unemployment is at a four decade low. The market has gained 4,000 points. You're keeping more of what you earned. Manufacturing is making a comeback. Minority unemployment is at a three decade low.

How are things bad?
 
Trump's tariffs and childish jawboning are the geneses of the stock market troubles. This is on his back. He is making the market a mess. Stock people want some predictability. You never know who Trump will piss off next. He is fighting with the EU, China, Canada and Mexico.
 
Nordberg said:
Trump's tariffs and childish jawboning are the geneses of the stock market troubles. This is on his back. He is making the market a mess. Stock people want some predictability. You never know who Trump will piss off next. He is fighting with the EU, China, Canada and Mexico.
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Is Jay Powell providing certainty right now?
 
Nordberg said:
Trump's tariffs and childish jawboning are the geneses of the stock market troubles. This is on his back. He is making the market a mess. Stock people want some predictability. You never know who Trump will piss off next. He is fighting with the EU, China, Canada and Mexico.
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Wrong and STUPID. Par for the course with morons like you.
 
Is Katazgar a day trader who tries to use reverse psychology to get the market to improve by making these posts or he is just a poor troll?
 
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