https://www.newsweek.com/biden-one-term-president-opinion-1844382
There are so many murmurs about replacing Joe Biden as the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee that a more central question can get sidelined: what are his chances of winning a second term if he is not removed from the ballot?
Democrats are in a singularly unenviable position, eyeing a troubled nation led by a president in obvious decline, with no alternative nominee in sight. Everyone is free to mull some scheme featuring Gavin Newsom riding to the rescue, or the spectacle of Michelle Obama lowered from the rafters at the Chicago convention to accept the anointing of delegates filled with joyful relief.
Right now those are amateurish movie screenplays. Team Biden shows no sign of awakening to the reality the rest of us can see every day—a president struggling with cognitive clarity and unfavorable poll numbers in swing states. There is no sign he plans to appear on our TV screens as Lyndon Johnson did in the spring of 1968 to say "I shall not seek, and I will not accept the nomination of my party for another term as your president."
Vietnam and other deep national divisions had damaged LBJ's reelection chances, but the announcement still stunned the nation. If Biden were to deliver a similar moment of clarity, the overwhelming reaction of his party would be relief. The reason is clear: a second Biden term is simply not a sustainable concept.
This is not a partisan barb. Increasing numbers of Democrats recognize the bleak optics of Biden asking to remain in the Oval Office past his 86th birthday. Few in the party's power structure are able to give voice to such concerns, so they plow forward amid hopes of facing a Donald Trump campaign damaged enough that even Biden can beat it.
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