Trump's base is very different than the swing voters he'll need in 2020

Guno צְבִי

Guno צְבִי

We fight, We win, Am Yisrael Chai
A look at the numbers suggests he'll likely need to do something very different than continue with his current base-first, hardline-immigration and racial-resentment electoral strategy. Trump will probably need to appeal well beyond his older, less educated and white Republican base.


One of Trump's most foretelling statements of the 2016 campaign occurred when he said, "I love the poorly educated." 70% of those who approve of Trump's overall performance lack a college degree. But if wants to convert some of the people who disapprove of him overall but like him on the economy, he better start to want to win over some better educated folks.


Trump, for now though, seems more than happy to mostly double down on his base first strategy. It could be the downfall of his bid for a second term.


https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/13/politics/trump-swing-voters-2020/index.html
 
Last edited:
482564_5_.jpg



cjones08282018.jpg



donteducateme-e1515259005153.jpg
 
Trumpet said:
It's going to be the independent voters who will determine this next election.
Click to expand...

Turnout and voter suppression are big factors. We know Trump followers are emotionally involved and will vote. Trump has to overcome the demographics which are not beneficial to him.
Trump slipped through with very narrow margins last time. He cannot afford slippage.
 
Gonzomin said:
Turnout and voter suppression are big factors. We know Trump followers are emotionally involved and will vote. Trump has to overcome the demographics which are not beneficial to him.
Trump slipped through with very narrow margins last time. He cannot afford slippage.
Click to expand...

Hillary got 3 million more votes than Trump got, and there was voter apathy., so lets see what happens this time.
 
Trumpet said:
Hillary got 3 million more votes than Trump got, and there was voter apathy., so lets see what happens this time.
Click to expand...

Trump got 306 of the kind of votes that determine who sits in the Oval Office, Hillary only got a lousy 232. If a lefty plans to beat Trump in 2020, he, she, or they needs to start thinking in terms of how to get more than 270. That 3 million thing is catchy in a political way, but everybody knows it doesn't really mean anything, and that it doesn't win the election.
 
The same apathy will not exist on the Democratic side this time. I would much rather be in the position of the Democratic nominee at this point than Trump.
 
Evmetro said:
Trump got 306 of the kind of votes that determine who sits in the Oval Office, Hillary only got a lousy 232. If a lefty plans to beat Trump in 2020, he, she, or they needs to start thinking in terms of how to get more than 270. That 3 million thing is catchy in a political way, but everybody knows it doesn't really mean anything, and that it doesn't win the election.
Click to expand...

How silly. Trump won Michigan, by .3 percent. That is less than a vote per precinct. Some other states were also very close. 70,000 total vote margin over the 3 industrial states gave Trump a very lucky and narrow victory. Trump is in trouble this time,bigly.
 
Jarod said:
The same apathy will not exist on the Democratic side this time. I would much rather be in the position of the Democratic nominee at this point than Trump.
Click to expand...

They hated Trump back than as much as they hate him now .... and “ they “ don’t count .
 
Gonzomin said:
How silly. Trump won Michigan, by .3 percent. That is less than a vote per precinct. Some other states were also very close. 70,000 total vote margin over the 3 industrial states gave Trump a very lucky and narrow victory. Trump is in trouble this time,bigly.
Click to expand...

Trump got 306 of the kind of votes that determine who sits in the Oval Office, Hillary only got a lousy 232. If a lefty plans to beat Trump in 2020, he, she, or they needs to start thinking in terms of how to get more than 270. That 3 million thing is catchy in a political way, but everybody knows it doesn't really mean anything, and that it doesn't win the election.
 
Evmetro said:
Trump got 306 of the kind of votes that determine who sits in the Oval Office, Hillary only got a lousy 232. If a lefty plans to beat Trump in 2020, he, she, or they needs to start thinking in terms of how to get more than 270. That 3 million thing is catchy in a political way, but everybody knows it doesn't really mean anything, and that it doesn't win the election.
Click to expand...

Just showed you what a thin, thin victory it was. Can you read? Trump was a shock to all caused by everything falling just right. I doubt he can get that lucky again. The reds are happy to cheat like hell with voter purging and suppression. It may not be enough this time.
 
Trumpet said:
Hillary got 3 million more votes than Trump got, and there was voter apathy., so lets see what happens this time.
Click to expand...

depends on who you pick.......you have one chance to pick someone that will duplicate Obama's win........I'm not stupid enough to let you know which one it is.......
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top