Into the Night
Verified User
China has larger public debt than we do, with no outside financing of that public debt. Worse yet, they have repeated technical defaults. The only thing keeping them from collapsing is their currency controls forcing their huge national savings to be invested in the public debt.
If they give up their currency controls they will be in serious trouble.
China does have some outside financing of it's debt (just like any government debt).
You are correct, however, that China is economically much worse off than the federal government is right now.
All fiat currency is 'currency control'.
China is in serious trouble. Because it's government cannot tax what it owns, and it owns a lot of markets (communism), they have no revenue to keep anything going. They are out of options.
So far they have attempted to build cities with no one to live in them, build mega projects like dams on the yellow river (that are failing, including the Three Gorges dam), break the promise of elderly care for all, entice people to buy products they don't want, etc.
The result? The people of China are now saving their wealth from this disaster in any way they can. If they have the ability to, they are fleeing the country and taking their wealth with them by hook or by crook. Money velocity is incredibly low in China. They are in economic depression, and their government is STILL trying to build it's way out of it using the markets they own.
The government of China has now sent out thugs they call 'police' to bring these refugees to heel.
The days of peace in China is coming to an end. That government is literally building the army that will defeat them. China IS collapsing.