(Not addressing dixie)
lets say you are flipping a magic coin that lands on heads 2/3rds of the time.
You flip it and it lands on tails 6 times in a row. What was the probability of this happening? Is it .33 * .33 * .33 * .33 * .33 * .33? Or am I off? I haven't done any math in about 4 years
Perhaps my original question was a bit confusing, so put the original post into the context of my new analogy.
Will .2315 *.2877 * .3807 * .2429 * .1882 * .3216 give me my answer?
And if so does that = roughly around 1/26595 or did I do something wrong?