Damo,
How would gasoline or oil be in the picture twice if the retail sales of it at the pump was counted in with all of the other goods purchased to calculate the core inflation figure?
I understand the freight costs for a product is already calculated in to the markup of the product at retail....in the old days freight ran 1-1.5% of the cost of goods and then a minimum of a 50% markup when the goods hit retail...i am certain freight is a higher portion of the cost of goods than it was 5-10 years ago....but regardless...
my point is that gasoline prices are reflected at retail.....i understand this...and as example let's say the core inflation of goods at retail minus food and gasoline and heating oil prices, is 1% for the month of march.
Then let's presume the price of food and oil/by products has risen 2% for the month of march.
Presume oil and food is 33% of the total usa domestic products purchased here....and it is $1 trillion total, ( for the sake of the argument).
33% of that was sold with an increased retail price of 2%, and 66% of it was sold with an increased retail price of 1%....all of that calculates to a core inflation of 1.33% for the month of march....
To me, this gives a much better perspective to core inflation than saying, "Ok, core inflation is 1% and inflation on gas and food is 2% for the month of march.''
There are other reasons why the price of goods go up outside of gasoline prices...for example, you know I was in the Shoe Industry for decades, we went through a situation where in one year, the cost of leather and labor doubled in Brazil, where we were manufacturing a great deal of the shoes sold in the USA at the time. In one year we nearly had to DOUBLE the retail price of leather shoes....not raise them 10% but raise them nearly 100%....it was scarey as *hit, (but we made it through it and the women still came out and bought their shoes, much less of them, but our retail sales did not take a hit at all, only the units we sold)
My point is, that Leather doubled in price because it became a FAD for Leather Couches and Leather chairs, and a shortage of leather occured for the shoe industry because of stupid leather couches!!! It had nothing to do with transportation/freight fees!!!
so the price of retail goods fluctuate as much for other reasons than just gasoline/oil costs, only on a smaller individual scale....but NONE THE LESS, to me... the two should be combined....the retail sales of the purchases we made for gasoline and heating oil and food, along with the purchases we have made for the gadgets, and clothing from China to give a realistic "core inflation" number....especially with the consistant steady rises year after year with no drastic fluctuations down???
Maybe I am being hard headed on this...?
hahahaha!
care