Why Trump Beats Hillary

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Public opinion survey results asking atypical but timely questions has shed some light on the Trump coalition.

The results suggest how Trump has built a significant part of his coalition of voters on people who are responsive to religious, social and racial intolerance.

One poll asked voters if they thought whites were a superior race. Among Trump’s supporters, only 69 percent disagreed.

Nearly 20 percent of Trump’s voters disagreed with Abraham Lincoln’s Emancipation Proclamation, which freed slaves in the Southern states during the Civil War.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/25/upshot/measuring-donald-trumps-supporters-for-intolerance.html?_r=1
 
reason10 said:
Yes he is. He'll take it in a landslide. There are too many blue collar workers who took it up the ass because of Obama/Hillary.
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In 2008 Obama campaigned here and said about those blue-collar workers "And it's not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." Election results: Obama 54.47%, McCain 44.15%.

In 2012 the sentiment was that blue-collar workers hated Obamacare and would vote Obama out of office because of it. Election results: Obama 51.97%, Romney 46.59%

The blue-collar workers may be angry but they're not stupid.
 
christiefan915 said:
In 2008 Obama campaigned here and said about those blue-collar workers "And it's not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." Election results: Obama 54.47%, McCain 44.15%.

In 2012 the sentiment was that blue-collar workers hated Obamacare and would vote Obama out of office because of it. Election results: Obama 51.97%, Romney 46.59%

The blue-collar workers may be angry but they're not stupid.
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Every night I pray Air Force One crashes into a mountain with all of the Obamas an Jarrett for good measure on it.

Allah willing it will come to pass
 
The Dude said:
I placed out of freshman English in college
I know it's amazing,
Why are you so ashamed of your shitbag college, many here have stated they didn't go
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So you say. You also say you have an accounting degree and an MBA. That's three claims now about your supposed college days. That's three claims you are yet to prove.

Why do you expect the rest of us to believe something you haven't proven with one ounce of evidence?
 
CFM said:
So you say. You also say you have an accounting degree and an MBA. That's three claims now about your supposed college days. That's three claims you are yet to prove.

Why do you expect the rest of us to believe something you haven't proven with one ounce of evidence?
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You've proven to be a transparent sock puppet Ila
 
Jarod said:
I don't know who wins with a Trump Clinton match up.

Its going to be very interesting. I have felt this was the Republicans year to recapture the White House, but with Trump winning the primary, I am back to toss up.
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i dont know if trump can beat clinton but republican numbers are sky high and I do think the conservatives have more momentum than dems this time around.

But the ironic thing is I actually think he does have a better shot than cruz or rubio would have. Cruz's ideas are completely outdated and are dead on arrival in a general election. Rubio is too green and will look completely inexperienced next to hillary clinton. Trump can at least play the 'im a successful business man card'

Also trump doesn't support defunding planned parenthood and things like that. Imagine cruz or rubio trying to win on a "shut down planned parenthood" campaign. completely moronic and would kill the women vote.

Trumps strategy is kinda interesting when you think about it. Repubs assume they lose most of the minority vote no matter what.. so fuck them... instead galvanize as many white people as possible. If you can get enough you offset your loses.
 
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christiefan915 said:
In 2008 Obama campaigned here and said about those blue-collar workers "And it's not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." Election results: Obama 54.47%, McCain 44.15%.

In 2012 the sentiment was that blue-collar workers hated Obamacare and would vote Obama out of office because of it. Election results: Obama 51.97%, Romney 46.59%

The blue-collar workers may be angry but they're not stupid.
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you dummy, get back in the kitchen. you show declining numbers for dems and improving numbers for repubs and somehow you are trying to indicate there isn't a trend happening?

now maybe if you weren't a clueless woman who has no business talking politics, you would realize this election year republicans are turning out in droves:

The Nevada Republican Party reported Wednesday morning that more than 75,000 voters participated in the contest. While that might not seem like a stunning number in a state with a population of somewhere around three million, that turnout absolutely demolished the participation record from 2012, when only about 33,000 Republican voters showed up to caucus.


In fact, Donald Trump alone captured 34,531 votes in his near-landslide victory in the state, surpassing the total votes cast in the same contest four years ago.

It's a pattern that has played out in each of the previous Republican 2016 contests to date. '


In South Carolina, more than 730,000 voters turned out during Saturday's GOP primary contest, up from about 603,000 in 2012. In New Hampshire, Republicans shattered the 2012 tally of about 248,000 with a turnout of more than 284,000 this year. And in Iowa, Republicans counted more than 180,000 participants, up from about 121,000 in 2012.


On the Democratic side, the story has not been as rosy. After notching record turnouts in the 2008 Democratic primaries during the epic battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, the party's participation this cycle has fallen short of those numbers in every nominating contest to date.


Here are those Democratic turnout numbers:


  • Iowa 2008: 239,972
  • Iowa 2016: 171,109

  • New Hampshire 2008: 288,672
  • New Hampshire 2016: 250,983

  • Nevada 2008: 120,000
  • Nevada 2016: 80,000
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http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/polls-trump-clinton-ahead-super-tuesday-states-n527256


So trend over last 4 years is republicans gaining, dems falling, and now we are combining that with record turn out for republicans and declining turnout for dems.

If Romney bumps his numbers by 2% you don't think trump might be doing that with white blue collar voters?

Obv predicting the election out this far is foolish, but this election is very different than prior years. It's obvious.
 
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