http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/10/parsing_the_tracking_poll_are.html
The latest Washington Post/ABC News tracking poll -- using interviews conducted Thursday through Sunday -- shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 52 percent to 45 percent.
And yet, buried deep within the poll was evidence that if Obama is elected to the White House and Democrats strengthen their congressional majorities, they run some peril of pushing a too-liberal agenda and alienating the broad middle of the country -- many of whom still consider themselves moderates and conservatives.
In the Post survey, just 22 percent of the likely voter sample called themselves "liberals" while 38 percent self-identified as "moderates" and 37 percent as "conservatives."
Those numbers are essentially unchanged since the Post/ABC started nightly tracking in this race last weekend and are remarkably consistent over the last few years that the Post has asked the question.
On the cusp of the 2006 midterm elections, for example, when Democrats won back control of the House and Senate, an early November Post/ABC poll showed just 19 percent of the sample of registered voters described themselves as "liberals" while 42 percent called themselves "moderates" and another 36 percent cast themselves as "conservatives."
Those numbers got us to thinking about a wonderful piece by Newsweek's editor-in-chief (and Fix friend) Jon Meacham in which he argued that America remains a center-right country ideologically, and that a President Obama will have to cope with that reality if he wants to accomplish his legislative goals and get himself reelected.
Writes Meacham:
"Should Obama win, he will have to govern a nation that is more instinctively conservative than it is liberal--a perennial reality that past Democratic presidents have ignored at their peril. A party founded by Andrew Jackson on the principle that 'the majority is to govern' has long found itself flummoxed by the failure of that majority to see the virtues of the Democrats and the vices of the Republicans."