What other answers would they be?
"I am not a Trumpist."
"Are you retarded?"
"Get away from me you fool."
"Are you for real?"
"Why ask that dumb question?"
And so on.
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What other answers would they be?
"I am not a Trumpist."
"Are you retarded?"
"Get away from me you fool."
"Are you for real?"
"Why ask that dumb question?"
And so on.
It's also possible that you might receive no verbal reply at all, or perhaps someone may answer "still gobbling the green jello, I see".
I note that you have cited no basis for your earlier conclusion that the usual responses to the question ""Why are you a Trumpist?" would be "Who told you that I am a Trumpist?" or "What made you think I am a Trumpist?"
That is what a rational person would reply.
Let me give you another example. This question people here on JPP and elsewhere often ask me is, "Why do you support open borders?"
And another example, "Why are you a Nazi who supports the Orange Nazi?"
According to...?
To rational people.
Generalization. You don't get to define what constitutes "rationality" to suit your opinions.
Try again.
Are you claiming that the probability of giving the same answers are not high?
You know what? I can set up an online poll later then see the odds of different answers.
That's not what I said, is it?
Knock yourself out. Your sample size is going to be an issue, and...I hate to break it to you, but people who respond to polls can lie. There's no way you can know if they are telling you what they really think, or not.
BTW, do not post your poll in Current Events.
I was asking you. (And I had to chuckle at the funny irony because it was a question and you thought I claimed that you said it.)
Oh don't worry about the sample sizes. I know of a few sites with pretty good sample sizes.
It isn't about telling me what they think. It's about asking what their answers would be.
I don't intend to.
Respondents can still lie, and you have absolutely no way of knowing. Are you beginning to get an inkling of the issues surrounding polling?
In statistics, it is what is called a "margin of error".
My professors.
Remember I told you that I majored in mathematics.
BTW, I Googled as you asked and I found this one: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/06/16/qa-pew-research-centers-president-on-key-issues-in-u-s-polling/
Pretty interesting article that explains it in details.
I know. So what? You aren't a pollster, are you? Many marketing research firms have moved away from polling because the results they were getting weren't validated by results, so they explored other avenues that more accurately predict consumer behavior.
What people say they'll do < that what people really do.
You can delve deeper into the matter until you find research that wasn't conducted by people with a vested interest in convincing the reader that their methods are basically sound, or you can be satisfied with the first source that feeds your confirmation bias and abandon the scientific method.
I know people lie when they poll them. That's a no brainer. That is taken into account. Hence it is a part of margin of error. It's the confidence level. It is explained in the article I linked.
Jesus wept.
If there's no way to know who is lying, how can a valid statistical margin of error be determined?
There could be a 100% error rate if everybody lies, and there's no way to know.
As I have stated, that is explained in the article.
The odds of, lets say, 50% of people lying would be extremely low in a large sample size.
But anyway, how can it be lying when people give their answers to my question?
So you read one article.
Who calculated those odds? Did you bother to verify the methodology?
Post your poll, and I'll show you how people can lie. If there is a multiple choice, I can pick one that doesn't reflect my actual beliefs, and there's no way for you to know.