2016 Election electoral vote predictions

I still think Clinton will end up winning but it won't be the landslide that some people are predicting. The reason why I think this is because there are several states that Trump needs to win that are swing states or leaning blue while at the same time he's having to barely hold on to states that would normally be solid republican. I just don't think he will have the votes in enough swing states to win and if he loses one or two states that should have not been a competition for him then it only makes it harder for him. I will also say that I don't think that the states that are typically very solid republican are going democrat but they are just not supportive or inspired by Trump as the republican candidate. They have talked about how Texas might be going purple for example but it's not that it's going purple or that Clinton is popular, it's still very much a red state, but it's that Trump is just not as popular or wanted as people think and it's causing a lot of people to either not vote, vote third party, or vote Clinton in anticipation of having republicans at least still having congress. I don't think Trump has really damaged the down ticket as much as some people think since most republicans and conservatives still want that type of representation in congress, but I do think that in two years congress will be the opposite of whichever party wins the presidency next week.
 
Cowgirl Up said:
I still think Clinton will end up winning but it won't be the landslide that some people are predicting. The reason why I think this is because there are several states that Trump needs to win that are swing states or leaning blue while at the same time he's having to barely hold on to states that would normally be solid republican. I just don't think he will have the votes in enough swing states to win and if he loses one or two states that should have not been a competition for him then it only makes it harder for him. I will also say that I don't think that the states that are typically very solid republican are going democrat but they are just not supportive or inspired by Trump as the republican candidate. They have talked about how Texas might be going purple for example but it's not that it's going purple or that Clinton is popular, it's still very much a red state, but it's that Trump is just not as popular or wanted as people think and it's causing a lot of people to either not vote, vote third party, or vote Clinton in anticipation of having republicans at least still having congress. I don't think Trump has really damaged the down ticket as much as some people think since most republicans and conservatives still want that type of representation in congress, but I do think that in two years congress will be the opposite of whichever party wins the presidency next week.
Click to expand...

He's doing bad in some diverse southern states, but doing really well in rust belt states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. It's a wash. He has to win Florida, though. His route to victory basically depends on that. While Clinton can lose Florida and still have some breathing room.
 
Waco was justice said:
He's doing bad in some diverse southern states, but doing really well in rust belt states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. It's a wash. He has to win Florida, though. His route to victory basically depends on that. While Clinton can lose Florida and still have some breathing room.
Click to expand...

Yeah Trumps path is a much more tight path compared to Clintons. I just don't think he is going to have a big enough turnout to really compete like that. I could be very wrong considering nobody really expected him to be the nominee either but I just don't see it happening.
 
Clinton's electoral college position is actually disadvantageous compared to trump. She has a firewall the prevents her from losing many electoral votes as she polls in the 1%-4% ahead area, but once she gets past there she loses a lot. Really she has to win the popular vote by about 1% just to break even. A Trump victory is highly likely to be an electoral college and not popular vote victory.

The entire system is rigged against the democrats.
 
Nope straight line extrapolation turned out to be correct. Ended the day 4 points down. If she loses 4 points a day, she will be disfavored by election day.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top