The other thing to consider about polling is that it doesn't account for Electoral Voting. Hillary had 3 million more votes, but that doesn't really matter when the president isn't decided by popular vote.That's correct. The overall polling was very accurate in predicting the popular vote. State by state voting was less accurate, and the margins were very thin. But on the morning of the election, 538, who I consider the gold standard on polling analysis, had Clinton as a 75% chance to win. In baseball, that's about the odds that a given batter will make an out. But a player for the Minnesota Twins just reached base in 13 consecutive at bats. A small sample size was the reason that everyone talked about how wrong the polls were. Understanding statistics and probabilities is the key to understanding polling data. I think if the election had been held a week later, the polling shift after the Comey announcement would have been more pronounced, and the odds smaller. Polling has become less reliable, almost certainly due to the advent of mobile phones as the primary phone in almost every household. I don't think the methodologies have caught up yet.
Polls are meaningless. And usually wrong.The other thing to consider about polling is that it doesn't account for Electoral Voting. Hillary had 3 million more votes, but that doesn't really matter when the president isn't decided by popular vote.
Nope. In fact, if you actually pay attention to mid-terms, state and local elections, polls are generally accurate. People with a 15 point lead in the polls often win by a large margin. The recent AZ governor election was basically a toss-up in the polls and Hobbs won with 50.32% of the vote while Lake had 49.65%.Polls are meaningless. And usually wrong.
Hillary was President. You convinced me.Nope. In fact, if you actually pay attention to mid-terms, state and local elections, polls are generally accurate. People with a 15 point lead in the polls often win by a large margin. The recent AZ governor election was basically a toss-up in the polls and Hobbs won with 50.32% of the vote while Lake had 49.65%.
Hillary was President. You convinced me.
duhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh picture duhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
If that were true, then they wouldn't be taken to begin with.Polls are meaningless. And usually wrong.
Yes they would.If that were true, then they wouldn't be taken to begin with.
I doubt Biden is even capable of THAT.Yes and I have a copy:
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