“Climate change has amplified the strength of hurricanes”

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“Climate change has amplified the strength of Atlantic hurricanes by an average of 18 miles per hour in the last six years”

“Warmer waters are fueling more storms with vastly increased wind speeds. Between 2019 and 2023, 40 hurricanes saw wind increases sufficient to elevate them by at least one category on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale, according to the study published in the journal Environmental Research: Climate.”

“Three hurricanes, including this month's Rafael, experienced a substantial speed boost caused by climate change, which moved them up two categories.”


But, but, but some nobody weatherman in nowhereville “proved” climate change is a hoax

Hope Floridians are enjoying DeSantis’s attacks on “climate ideology”
 
“Climate change has amplified the strength of Atlantic hurricanes by an average of 18 miles per hour in the last six years”

“Warmer waters are fueling more storms with vastly increased wind speeds. Between 2019 and 2023, 40 hurricanes saw wind increases sufficient to elevate them by at least one category on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale, according to the study published in the journal Environmental Research: Climate.”

“Three hurricanes, including this month's Rafael, experienced a substantial speed boost caused by climate change, which moved them up two categories.”


But, but, but some nobody weatherman in nowhereville “proved” climate change is a hoax

Hope Floridians are enjoying DeSantis’s attacks on “climate ideology”
MAGAts won't believe it even if Florida is flattened like a pancake by multiple Cat 5 storms.
 
“Climate change has amplified the strength of Atlantic hurricanes by an average of 18 miles per hour in the last six years”

“Warmer waters are fueling more storms with vastly increased wind speeds. Between 2019 and 2023, 40 hurricanes saw wind increases sufficient to elevate them by at least one category on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale, according to the study published in the journal Environmental Research: Climate.”

“Three hurricanes, including this month's Rafael, experienced a substantial speed boost caused by climate change, which moved them up two categories.”


But, but, but some nobody weatherman in nowhereville “proved” climate change is a hoax

Hope Floridians are enjoying DeSantis’s attacks on “climate ideology”
Nice little strawman there. While yes you can search the internet and find someone who claims it's a hoax we know the real argument is over the degree to which humans contribute and what is the cost benefit on measures that purport to 'fix' it.
 
Nice little strawman there. While yes you can search the internet and find someone who claims it's a hoax we know the real argument is over the degree to which humans contribute and what is the cost benefit on measures that purport to 'fix' it.
Translation: Live for the moment and don't give a shit about our grandkids.

Sorry, Wacko, but I believe the good folks at NASA over politicians.

 
Nice little strawman there. While yes you can search the internet and find someone who claims it's a hoax we know the real argument is over the degree to which humans contribute and what is the cost benefit on measures that purport to 'fix' it.
I don’t think the arguement is over “the degree to which humans contribute,” it is pretty well established that they contribute substantially, and the cost benefit, which I’d describe as opportunity cost, is more hurricanes at greater intensity.

To score political points by appealing to the easy way out as DeSantis has done in Florida, and the right on the national level, will cost future generations for instant gratification now
 
Since Katrina, hurricanes have been the poster child for climate change.

But, several lines of empirical data cast doubt on claims that climate change is causing a measurable increase in global hurricane activity. Read more here:


 
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I don’t think the arguement is over “the degree to which humans contribute,” it is pretty well established that they contribute substantially, and the cost benefit, which I’d describe as opportunity cost, is more hurricanes at greater intensity.

To score political points by appealing to the easy way out as DeSantis has done in Florida, and the right on the national level, will cost future generations for instant gratification now
At a high level we spend an inordinate amount of money in California on 'addressing' climate change. Will it pay off in the future? That remains to be seen.

As far as scoring political points it works both ways.
 
Prior to the adoption of the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale in the early 1970s — which has undergone subsequent revisions — TC intensities were quantified by their minimum barometric pressure (MSLP) just like extratropical cyclones (think nor’easters).

This is because it has long been understood that, generally speaking, the lower the atmospheric pressure, the stronger the storm.

In fact, Knaff and Zehr (2007) found more than a 90% explained variance between MSLP and Vmax using 15-years of TC data from the Atlantic and Pacific.

The mechanics of this are simple. Pressure falls at the core of the cyclone tighten the horizontal pressure gradient between the eye and the ambient environment.

In an attempt to equalize the pressure deficit, air parcels will accelerate toward the storm’s center, thereby increasing the Vmax. The relationship between TC Vmax and MSLP can be approximated by:


AD_4nXcCCBVXx4cGBmdU5hYimPB7bJ0KYxVEsPXWXnlrmPwPUYcx2OGHgihF_cHMtz0k3C0CMmCwJRqtJ1WSm07ePSFM3jX5GldgPyxdotZ6vpbDj8fqQolXK5-JYhE12hVneewLsBL1zk-JPeoAq_KYJXE1KOXb


One additional advantage to using MSLP as a proxy for TC intensity as opposed to Vmax is that MSLP is a more precise measure.

MSLP is measured by the millibar (mb) or the equivalent hectopascal (hPa), whereas Vmax is estimated in five-knot or five-mile-per-hour increments, which leads to significant of overlap in TC intensity estimates.

It’s also worth noting that the method for approximating Vmax has changed over the last several decades.

Prior to the 1940s, we largely relied on physical in-situ wind speed measurements taken from scattered ground-based station anemometers situated 10 meters above the ground.

Today, TC Vmax is estimated from flight-level dropsonde measurements obtained from NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reconnaissance missions, which are then reduced by 10% to account for friction).

The scatterplot below shows all Florida hurricane landfall MSLPs since 1900 (the 1851-1899 period was excluded due to low population density in the 19th century).

AD_4nXfPAmu-dMvGjsjlhjW-wUkxz5FlNa2Nac0dhGYqb5URqrV9nE0FIY8IsqDavf3xiYe_aMZ29IvVNQEkh3BXttdLS74CckXXXiTmRG4S2cj7V-RzJMMnnRo9gtfoG9onNELXdL5KOVYJDDBHpuoUalpxUN-L

While the least squares regression line is slightly down, which would indicate that hurricanes are landfalling at higher intensity, the coefficient of determination (R2 value) is a measly 0.016, which means it doesn’t pass the statistical significance test.

In other words, there is no compelling evidence that hurricanes are striking Florida with greater ferocity.
 
Since Katrina, hurricanes have been the poster child for climate change.

But, several lines of empirical data cast doubt on claims that climate change is causing a measurable increase in global hurricane activity. Read more here:


Called that one perfectly, “but, but, but some nobody weatherman in nowhereville “proved” climate change is a hoax”.

The flat earthers are so predictable
 
Called that one perfectly, “but, but, but some nobody weatherman in nowhereville “proved” climate change is a hoax”.

The flat earthers are so predictable
Get out of your NYC apartment limpdick New Yorker.. Weather changes. Always has. Not that I would expect a limpdick cubicle dwelling liberal to know that.
 
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