Our debate about Iraq is often stuck in black and white: success versus failure, staying versus going. But as this debate plays out, the far-reaching consequences of war are already unfolding. One consequence is Iraq's catastrophic refugee crisis.
One out of every eight Iraqis has been displaced by violence -- some 1.9 million Iraqis inside their country, and more than 2 million as refugees in neighboring states, primarily Syria and Jordan. An additional 40,000 to 50,000 Iraqis leave their homes each month. By the end of 2007, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) projects a total 2.3 million to 2.7 million internally displaced persons in Iraq. Most are fleeing sectarian violence in Baghdad and adjoining areas of central and southern Iraq to seek the relative safety of areas where they are not an endangered minority.
The implications of this unfolding humanitarian crisis are grave. Professionals and skilled workers are leaving the country. The standard of living is falling, despite efforts to rebuild infrastructure and restore basic services. More children are unable to attend school. Many teachers have left the country. Malnutrition is increasing. Access to health care is hard to come by.
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